Well, a fabulous night
out at Kempton Park Races! I decided not to back favourites but go for longer
shots - I had two bets of £20 on each race on horse over 10-1 - don't like each
way, prefer two win bets instead. First race got the winner at 12-1 but even
better tote paid at 15-1. Won £300, lost £20 on the other bet.
Lost £40 on races 2-5 = loss £80 (the favourites won) Then won with
Motafarred in the last at 11-1 but the tote again paid 15-1! Another £300 won,
lost £20 on the other bet so a total profit on the night of £480.
The gist of it was that
the company seems very keen to get more customers in and advises managers to
take drinks out into the street to bring people in. They started doing this last
week. Also they give "cold drink" tastings to customers inside to try and get
them to buy the high profit margin cold drinks.
The staff notice seemed to have the drift that they need to bring more
customers in and it seems a company wide thing. So it looks like a possible
"tipping point".
And of course I could be talking complete crap. Well, I guess you can make up
your own mind about that....Is Robbie talking crap? YOU decide!
The stories in the papers today about Posh and Becks "not smiling" as they leave for the USA seem a bit unfair. After all, when was the last time YOU smiled at an airport?
They are a complete pain
in the neck now and I think they are perfectly entitled not to smile. I can't
remember anyone smiling at an airport. I'm sure I haven't!
The BBC/Queen row just shows it's time the BBC stopped chasing ratings and
concentrate on good things instead of wasting time on sensationalist trailers.
Can you imagine being the person in charge of making that trailer?
What happened to you today? Oh, I just got the Queen really pissed off....
anyway I said sorry to her so I hope we're mates again..
I see some staffers at children's channel CBBC have staged a walkout. Honestly,
they're acting like.. a bunch of kids!
Markets
Goodness me, what a comeback! However I remain
wary - it's when you start seeing huge rises in the Dow can mark the start of a
downturn... I'm not complaining for right now though!
I've bought 3,000 shares in RCM Technology (RTT) today at 241.23p (it was
already up 4p). It's a little known tech trust which looks to have assets in all
the right areas for me.
It publishes its net asset values every day
and shares move along with that rather than whether anyone has bought or sold.
It seems to hold its own or go up on downdays too. A nice chart too.
I just had to buy some more Dragon Oil (DG0) yesterday on what looked like
a massive market-maker treeshake! I bought another 2,200 at 210.6p. Target 280
stop 190.
The share tumbled from 225 to 208 taking out a lot of stop losses I'm sure and producing a selling climax. I bought just as it turned though missed 209 by a whisker.
This shake is probably good news as I guess
it happened so the mm's could pick up a bundle of shares. Anyway I took
advantage!
Staying with oils, I have topped up on Oilexco (OIL) buying 1,000 shares
today at 656p. Target 800 stop 595. On the risky side of my normal dealings
however I'll take the risk.
Investors Chronicle has an interesting
piece on it today pointing out the forward PE is only tennish when most in its
sector are 20 with Tullow at 22. It's risen a lot recently but there could be a
lot more here for me.
I had my usual row with Barclays Stockbrokers regarding their refusal to
allow this one in an ISA despite recent promotion to the main index. Something
feeble about it being "registered in Guernsey". This is despite every other
broker allowing this in an ISA and no tax reason whatsover.
"It's our own decision," they say. I say
unless they start allowing shares like this in Isas I shall be moving the many
hundreds of thousands of pounds I have in Isas with them to another broker.
Elsewhere a massive rise for Hunting where I still retain a long-term
spreadbet in which I'm up nearly ten grand. However I'm kicking myself for
selling a shorter term position in it earlier in the week missing a 50 point
rise.
Volex continues to see some bigger buying coming in and I'm surprised it's
not moving. Wellstream heads back close to 500p.
I was expecting my shorts to take a real hammering today and it didn't
happen.. I continue to hold them as they will bring in the money on any market
tank.
My shortish term trade in Xchanging is doing exactly what I wanted! Nicely
up and heading towards the target I set... nearly there!!
Ms International rose another 7p over the last few days and continues to
perform well - and even better news that directors are cashing in on options but
not exercising them. Shows big confidence.
Carphone Warehouse is now nicely up from my buying price. Int Ferro looks
very strong today and breaking up nicely. And Wellstream is breaking up fast as
I write!
The portfolio continues to please me and looks very good indeed with much
profit and only a very few positions in a loss and small ones at that.
I'm doing a bit less
hobbling now thanks for asking. Body is gradually repairing itself from falling
over when running. Still cringing a bit from all the people that saw my
spectacular downfall!
Toddler Christopher had a great day yesterday - he went to the Science
Museum with Mrs NT and his grandmother to see.... Bob The Builder.. live!
Apparently Bob did a lot of fixing and the lad can now sing the whole of the
theme tune.
He also went to Harrods
for the giant Thomas Tank Engine. You don't think there is any possibility he is
spoiled? Oh well he is off to his posh nursery tomorrow (£900 a month for 3 days
pw).
So tonight I'm off to Kempton Park races for a night of drinking and
gambling. Well, that's two vices taken care of in one evening. Could be worse at
least I don't smoke. A marching band and fireworks are promised as it's "British
night".
I'm taking a bunch of cash with me and will try and turn it into more.
I'll let you know whether I was a super profit maker or a super prat on Friday.
Looks quite difficult tonight with quite open racing - still you just never
know!
The last horse I part owned was called Baby Spice. The poor horse was
pretty useless - she always lead but never seemed to manage to lead at the
winning line. Except her last run before we sold. She coasted home at 33-1 and I
only had a tenner on! Well at least I had it on with the tote which paid 47-1!
I owned a number of horses in the 90s and one in particular was really
good - called Neither Nor - which won a very good race. Bought for £5,000 she
was sold to the USA for £40,000! So sometimes it pays off.
I ended up having £2,000 on her in cash at 8-1. It's hard to get a lot on
a horse without affecting the price so I cycled round dozens of bookies sticking
on £50s. For about a year after the win if I was short of cash, I just grabbed
one of the dozens of winning betting slips and cashed in!
Surendra writes: I've been following your website updates and have noticed
that you don't have stop placed on your FTSE 100 spread bet position? Please can
you explain why?
Yes, I hope so. The short is placed on the basis I feel the FTSE at some
point this year will end up below 6600. It's a kind of insurance policy for me
so happy to give it plenty of slack if need be. So there is no stop, it's a play
it by ear trade.
Markets
A tricky couple of days though bizarrely the portfolio has actually risen even though the main market has tanked! This is due to some nice rises on a couple of my positions and the shorts I have open.
Caution must be the watchword for buys for the moment, but one that's been rising well in a falling market is Northern Investors Company (NRI) and that's one of the reasons I bought this morning. I bought 2,500 shares at 230p. Target 275 stop 195. It looks an interesting one and it invests quite a lot in unquoted companies.
It has long periods where it does nothing
and will suddenly move higher. I noticed it happens to be moving higher in a
down market and that tempts me in. Bought a few for my sister's ISA as well as
it looks quite defensive.
I've shorted Marks and Spencers (MKS) yesterday - £20 a point at 646
(September contract). I think it may struggle from here for a bit and I noticed
Mrs NT who used to go a while back has stopped going there. Must be a bad sign!
Target 605 stop 670
And I've added some shorts in Easyjet (EZJ) over the last couple of days
which add up to £20 short at an average 510p. Target 440 stop 535. It's had a
very good run but I think it's flying too high (gettit) and could come off a bit
if the market goes down some more.
I took profits in PV Crystallox selling at 154.2 yesterday - that's a
profit of £660 on the 137 buy and £521 on the 136 position making a total profit
of £1,181. Just decided this was a good time to take the profits for now in a
weakish market. Having said that it's doing well today so I may be completely
wrong!
Also begging for profits to be taken was Corin which hit a ceiling at 580.
So I sold yesterday at 569.55p for a profit of £1,321 on the 503 position and
£636 on the other. Total profit of £1,957. I'll probably be back but it's been a
nice trade.
Also took profits in Hunting selling at 772 for a profit of £140 on the
758 spread. Just wary shares that have gone up a lot like Hunting could also
come down a lot in a dud market. And I sold a small amount of my Harvey Nash
holding at 85.05p yesterday for profits of £315 (for site purposes the 79p
position) while keeping the main position going.
That's total profits banked for the site of £3,593. Which brings banked
profits for the site to over £350,000
for the first time.
Elsewhere the portfolio is doing really well which is a big surprise after
two days of tanking FTSE. Star performer is Volex which saw a huge surge of
buying recently - after some good rises I'm hoping it will sit where it is for a
while nice and quietly and then head higher again.
Another star performer has been MS International which has also raced
higher for me after those substantial director buys. While obviously tempting to
take profits on these good performers the fact they hold well in a down market
despite big rises makes me happy to hold on for more.
Two other excellent performers: Dragon and Int Ferro. Dragon Oil has
scooted higher since I bought last week - it seems to be consoliding right now
at higher levels which is a good sign as one would have expected a bit of a
pullback here. And Int Ferro has continued to move higher and seems strong in
the weak market. Wellstream too holds up well.
My shorts are going extremely well - collectively I am well over 150
points up on Provident Financial, Paragon, Renishaw and Alba - so all these have
gone down nicely for me and if the market stays weak there may be more falls on
the way.
Shortish-term trade Xchanging is looking good, but I still would like
another 20 points please! So all in all the portfolio continues to please with
plenty of profits and only one or two anywhere near stop losses.
Ouch! There I was having a nice Sunday afternoon run around the river when I lost the plot and spectacularly fell onto some nasty gravel.
Which was very
painful though not as painful as realising how many spectators had seen me. They were all very nice though.
I hobbled home and have been hobbling since. A right hobbler. When I got home the only bandages available were Winnie The Pooh ones so I adorned myself with much Pooh.
When toddler Christopher returned home he chased me round the place demanding his Winnie The Pooh "stickers" back. Looks like no more exercise for me for a while. Oh well, back to the chunky kit kat's then.
Mrs NT and her sister went to see Lauren Hill at the Hammersmith Apollo last night. Apparently she was really good and they had a great time. Bit of a girlie singer though which is why I didn't go.
Off to Kempton Park races Wednesday evening so I will be poring over the Racing Post all day trying to find the winners. I used to own parts of racehorses in the 90s - am getting tempted to buy one, maybe next year. They're having a "British" evening with marching band and fireworks so hopefully it will be a good evening!
Naked Rambling
Hey, I thought there was going to be no "spin" from Gordon Brown. But here it is already. Stories all over the papers that we are about to have VAT added to food and other things because Europe says so.
It's all nonsense - the stories have been planted in the paper so we can all sigh in relief in a few weeks' time when the Government proclaims it has saved us from the extra taxes and so we should be grateful. Taxes that would never be imposed anyway. It's a standard spinning trick.
What's the point of the Alistair Campbell diaries if he's left out all the good stuff? He took out loads of things that "might embarrass" Brown. Wimp!!
Apparently we only get the juicy stuff if Brown loses the election. Well, I have one vote that will help!
The BBC fined £50,000 for the Blue Peter cock-up. Now who pays for the BBC
- oh we do!! Brilliant move by Ofcom!
I see Tycoon is back tonight cut by half and hour and at 10pm. Perhaps they should have just put it out of its misery and axe it - but I might watch to see if it's as bad as it was.
The "Tycoon store" apparently has hardly seen anyone in it. Peter Jones has a bit of work to do to restore his reputation as an astute businessman. But I guess he doesn't care, he just wants to be on TV!
Let's hope ITV stops copying
winning formats with poor derivatives.
Markets
The markets continue to be surprisingly strong - but I just roll with it though of course my FTSE short is under water.
So what have I been up to? Well, really continuing my strategy of compounding or averaging up, ie buying more shares in companies I already hold at a higher price.
Today I added more Volex (VLX) buying 2,500 shares at 192p. Target 250 stop 180. My main reason for topping up today was the good buying volume coming in.
A 25,000 buyer at 190p. This was followed by a large 50,000 buyer who was willing to pay 5p over the odds at the time to buy at 200p.
I'm always happy to be led by volume - if people want the share badly enough to pay well over the asking price it's always a good sign for me!
I bought a final lot of MS International (MSI) buying a further 1,500 shares at 204 Target 230 stop 190. I bought following news of yet more director buying with one director buying 10,000 and another 15,000 - big votes of confidence considering the shares have already gone up a bit recently.
Elsewhere it's been a really excellent month for my portfolio. Dragon Oil gets star billing - it's been racing higher and well up yet again today.
Shortish term trade Xchanging continues to rise steadily and it had a broker upgrade too. International Ferro Metals advances well on good volumes today. After a brilliant rise, Wellstream is steadyish now which is just fine - I hold ahead of what I hope will be another leg up soon. Corin too is having a breather.
Oilexco moves well and up and over 650p again. A lot of shares just seem to be unchanged today as the summer holidays start to get going in earnest!
So there I was in the
park with toddler Christopher. He was doing his usual thing - stealing other
people's scooters and he proudly found three and handed them to me.
Then the skies darkened and all the mums hurried home leaving us alone in
the playground. It'll just be a quick shower, I thought. Bunch of wimps! Then it
came down. I rushed Christopher to shelter underneath a toy train.
Which had only partial
shelter. The hailstones rocketed down. Lightening flashed everywhere. Thunder
crashed down. Honestly? I was crapping myself. I lay on top of toddler so that
if we got hit by lighting at least he's survive. It got worse and worse. I had
visions of them finding two burned drowned bodies later in the day.
Twas not a bother for the lad. He just wanted to eat the hailstones. Which
he did. This carried on for half an hour. I was wet through but Christopher was
dryish as I'd been protecting him.
We staggered out of the toy train when the rain subsided for a minute and
I had to debate on whether to make a run for it for home or stay in some sort of
shelter. I decided for the dash.
Lucky for us a kind lady who entered the park to pick up her kid's scooter
(probably stolen by Christopher) saw us bedragged lads and offered us a lift
home which was gratefully accepted!
Anyway I can exclusively
reveal we are shortly going to have a fantastic summer! Why? Because
forecasters predict the rest of the summer is likely to be a wash-out - with
just one day living up to scorching summers of recent years. They said the sun
will shine on Sunday July 15 but the wet weather that has ruined May and June
will continue until the end of August.
Piers Corbyn, founder of long-range forecasting firm WeatherAction, said:
"You can forget about summer, the forecast is terrible. "It's hard to find a day
where it won't rain somewhere. The best chance for a dry day is July 15 so plan
your picnic for then.
Well, Piers and all you other useless forecasters out there - just two
months ago you were saying we were going to have one of the hottest summers ever
and we faced a severe drought.
We now know you were talking a load of crap then and a bigger load of crap
now! As far as I'm concerned if you're telling me it's going to rain every day
this summer the sun will shine down. And at the end of a beautiful summer
remember who made the right forecast: Me!
Markets
Wow! A fantastic couple of days for the
portfolio with some excellent news coming from a few places. First the best
announcement for me was Wellsteam which announced some great contract wins
totalling over £100m from BHP Billiton. This shows great confidence from BHP and
the shares rose massively as the news came out.
I know quite well most people would take their profits on news but I am
more of a compound up investor and therefore this morning I bought some more
Wellstream (WSM) - 1,000 more shares at 469.25p to add to the ones bought at
390! Target 600p stop 400p. I am now holding Wellstream for the longer term here
as I think it could become a biggie.
I added some MTL Instruments (MTI) to my SIPP the other day at a bit of a
lower price and yesterday I bought some more for my ISA - 750 shares at 570p to
add to the ones already bought at 520p.
There's been continued buying in this one and there was a good write-up on
it in the Financial Times over the weekend as a share that could do well if the
market tumbled given its specialist market. It seems intent on growing now and
bought most of RTK for £3.7m yesterday which should be earnings enhancing this
year.
The big news came today from Corin which has had its hip product approved
in the USA. You can't have a bigger market than the USA for hip products. It's
difficult to value Corin but I imagine if its product is well received over
there, there could be much more upside which is why I didn't sell on the news.
It's quite possible it could become a bigger company and be in the FTSE 250 next
year.
MS International has been gaining daily and good to see the company thinks
its shares are undervalued by buying back 200,000 shares yesterday. Cavendish
Asset Management has just bought 10,000 shares. Seems to me the company is at
last interested in improving value for shareholders and this should bode well
for the share price.
Dragon Oil has been showing a lot of strength as it heads over 200p. A
little resistance here but there seems to be some good buying too.
Keller's been a good climber and delighted to see it trying to push
through the 1100 mark. Great company I think and a happy holder. Charter too has
been rocketing.
PV Cystallox is now in very good profit for me and is up another 5% today.
The Renishaw short still goes well as does Paragon and Alba shorts but Provident
raced up today depriving me of some of my short profits.
We made it back from deepest Devon! Hope you survived the week without me. While Devon was lovely it hacked down with rain the whole week.
We hired a lovely
cottage which proved absolutely enormous in a place called Thurlestone. Want to
see it? OK, link is here for the nosey parkers among you.
http://www.holidaycottages.co.uk/property-details-overview.aspx?qs=productcode_e_HOMEC
As you can see it's a lovely cottage and sleeps 12 - well there were four
and a quarter of us so there was plenty of room!
No internet available anywhere in Devon except for in the local village hall,
Wednesdays 2-4pm. (Village stores closed half day Wednesdays).
So I just bought the FT
every day and looked at yesterday's prices! Which is bizarre for someone like me
used to know what's going on live every day.
But in the end it was good. If I'd had access to broadband I'd probably
have been on it a lot and it was supposed to be a holiday. Despite the
terrible weather we all had a good time but only managed to use the cottage
heated swimming pool twice.
Drama as we arrived and Christopher looked interested in the pool. "We'd
better be careful in case he jumps in," said Elizabeth. "He won't try and jump
in," I said haughtily.
And of course he jumped in as soon as I said it, causing me to jump in
fully clothed to haul him out. So we started the holiday with one wet daddy and
son.
After that we ensured all doors leading to the pool were locked at all
times and anytime he was near it we were in close attendance. You can never be
too careful.
Still, it means when he's a teenager and playing up I can say "That's all
the thanks I get for saving your life when you were 2..." And he can say: "Yes,
dad you've only told me that story 100 times.. now do I really have to be home
for 10pm?"
My sister's husband (the top city lawyer) spent the week doing all the
gourmet cooking (I'll need a month in the gym to burn it all off). Elizabeth did
all the washing and dishes. I made all the cappuchinos.
If you think that sounds
an easy number I make gourmet cappuchinos that take 10 mins each. Quite hard
work actually.
Really. OK, don't believe me and see if I care.
And my sister..(the one that owns 4 West End theatres) well she was busy
working as usual. She had a pile of scripts to read through and decide whether
she wanted to stage them, which actors to use, negotiating rights etc. I read
through one or two of the scripts which were interesting.
In fact the phone went one night and an American voice said: "Is Nica
there please?" "Sure," I said. "Who is it?" "Christian, " he replied.
As in... Slater! I think she has him lined up for a new show later in the
year. As you can imagine she knows a lot of interesting "information" about a
lot of stars. Being a nice boy I don't sell any of it to the tabloids!
In between the rain we did manage two visits to the beach which
Christopher loved. He's a pretty fast mover for his age and we have to move
quick to stay with him!
On one day were going to go to a steam railway track and have a ride but
it rained harder and harder on the day so we gave up and went to kids adventure
park which ended up being a good move as Christopher got a ride on a mini
railway - and so did I - about 20 times. Plus bouncy castles, waterslides and
all sorts.... I went on all these things though Christopher didn't seem
interested (!!)
Elizabeth won the Scrabble tournament with a well-placed "incites" to earn
75 points. (Damn it!) Still at least my sister didn't win!
I drove all the way back in one hit (about 4 hours). Christopher managed
to stay awake most of the time but it was like having someone drunk on the back
seat piping up with nonsense from time to time. (My usual role).
Anyway back in London and switching on the TV again. What happened to Tony
Blair - he doesn't seem to be on anymore and Gordon Brown is everywhere!! Did
something happen while I was away?
Richard writes: Do you do the same Fundamental & Charting analysis whether
you are Trading shares or Spreadbetting?
Hi Richard. Yes generally speaking. I look at spreadbetting as another
method of making money with the aid of extra leverage and also use it to buy AIM
shares without tax implications. I think of spreadbetting as a little shorter
term than ordinary buys but my fundamental approach to whether a share is a buy
or not applies whichever method!
Markets
As I already mentioned it was weird not
having the internet and access to share dealing! However in the end no real
damage was done. Some things went up and some went down and judging by totals in
my accounts it all balances out. Nothing gained but not much lost either. And my
shorts did well.
So not a lot of trades to report. Before I left I shorted a new one: Alba
(ABA) for £20 a point at 164p. Target 120 stop 180p. This one is under the cosh
and just doesn't have much going for it. Consumer electronics is a dire sector
and the chart says it all.
And after I got back on Friday I added some more MS International (MSI)
buying a further 2,500 shares at 178p to add to the ones I bought at 159p.
Target 220 stop 155p.
The results last week were pretty good I
thought and tempted me into the top up when I got home from Devon. A director
bought 5,000 at 177p at the end of last week which looks encouraging.
And today I took profits in Alterian selling at 165 for a decent profit of
£1,122. Main reason for selling is the lack of any real movement recently. But
it's had a good run for me. I would certainly be interested in looking at this
one again in the future.
Elsewhere as mentioned above not much seemed to happen while I was away
though I feel a tiny bit out of touch! I saw recent buy Volex went up - looks
like some nice buying was the reason.
MTL Instruments has continued its recent steady rise and again more buying
is being seen than usual. Marchpole produced very decent FY results - in this
climate of course they went down a bit but I continue to hold these long-term.
All my shorts have been doing very well - good profits now in Renishaw,
Provident Financial and Paragon. Dragon Oil has just managed to scramble over
200p! But it does look strong at this level and the level 2 order book looks
very good. I still think an orderly rise to 220 at leasy is on the cards.
Excellent trading statement from Wellstream - I don't think it'll take
much to see that one rising again. Corin continues to look exciting and is
poised to break 550p. Foseco looks strong again after a decent recent statement.
Trifast was tipped in the Mail on Sunday and rises on the back of that.
Telecom Plus has got back above 200p. Int Ferro has done bugger all since I
bought - but it's about to move to the main market which means I'll be able to
put some in my ISA. So for now I'll be happy if it stays level!
I'm afraid this is the last
update for a week as I'm off on holiday! Yes, me the Mrs and toddler Christopher
are off to deepest Devon with my sister and her husband till next Friday. We
have a rented cottage for a week complete with swimming pool. In fact I believe
it is quite a posh cottage.
I hope you don't miss me too much as the next update won't be till Monday
after next (July 2nd). I gather some of you are addicted to the site.
All I can suggest is
some counselling, which is around £40 an hour I believe. Or, you can keep
reading these words over and over again every day till I get back. Though that
could drive you bananas.
Otherwise I suggest reading a good book instead. How about War And Peace?
That should keep you going. Of course being Wimbledon week the forecast is
diabolical. But we hope Christopher will have a lot of fun.
I just saw on the news some Cornish villages being flooded so we are armed
with wellies and a good coffee machine. How will us townies take to it? Not too
well probably!!
Markets
As mentioned above, it's a bit tricky knowing I'm going away on hols with hardly any access to the internet. If the market crashes next week (ooops maybe I shouldn't have said that) I'd be struggling to close out.
But I guess sometimes you have to let
things go. I have reduced some spread positions and trust the portfolio to hold
up ok as it is pretty defensive. And I do have the FTSE short.
Anyhow talking of defensive I topped up on RM (RM.) yesterday as it
appeared to come down too quick after an excellent day on Wednesday. I bought
3,000 shares at 205.4p. Target 245 stop 180. It appears to me to have little
downside and some potential decent upside though I believe I may need some
patience. But I have tons of that!
And I bought some Int Ferro (IFL) picking up 4,000 shares today at 122.9p.
Target 170 stop 95. This company appears to be in great demand and sales are
currently above expectations.
The best thing is it's about to move to the
main market any day and I hope to pick some more up for my ISA once it is on
main.. The move should give it a good chance of getting in the FTSE 250 later in
the year. They've gone up quite a lot recently but I prefer to buy shares on a
roll. Some massive volume so far today - over 3 million shares traded.
I took a loss of £551 on Xchanging selling yesterday at 270.24p. Very
disappointed but it was heading south at an alarming rate and as Scotty used to
say on Star Trek "I canna take no more.."
I've taken profits on Croda. I've held them for around a year and I think
it's simply time to cash in after a very good run.
So I sold today at 655.25p to take a very handsome profit of £5,051. That adds
to some good profits I took on them earlier this year and last. Thank you Croda
and goodnight for now!
Elsewhere PV Crystalox is probably my star of the day up nearly 3% and has
done nicely since I bought a few days ago.
Wellstream continues to be a shining star too - a lovely gain in just a month.
Vanco looks very strong today. Just 4 weeks left for Shares Mag to reach its
150p shorting target (what a joke!)
My shorts are going extremely well especially Provident Financial and
Renishaw both in a fine profit. Trifast remains a puzzle - can't understand why
it's not going higher though it is very stable.
Recent buy Dragon Oil settles just under
200p - always a struggle to get through whole numbers but I like the volumes on
this one and hope a rise through 200p could lift it to 220p in time.
MTL Instruments continues to creep up every day and looks like it'll make me a
profit at last!
Well, all I can do is hope for the best with the portfolio while I'm away
and also hope I don't end up in some internet cafe having to do some selling! I
will be trying my hardest not to trade unless I absolutely have to!
The Pope has laid down
the ten commandments of car driving according to the papers. One of them
suggests a car should "Not be used for sinful purposes."
That's me done, I've sinned and sinned again. Especially when I was a
teenager. Not quite so bad recently - but I did have a binge on green aero bars
in the car the other day....
Because toddler Christopher is a bit on the small side he went for a few
tests at the hospital yesterday. He was very brave when it came to the blood
test!
We're not too worried at this stage - he's in the bottom 10% for size but
Elizabeth and I aren't big people so it's not that surprising but still - it's
worth checking.
To make amends I bought him a talking Thomas Tank Engine and Bertie The
Bus and he's proudly taken them to nursery today to show off and I expect he'll
spend all day trying to hold onto them...
We had a visit from three lovely former Polish staff that I used to employ
at the cafe before I sold it last year. They really are great youngsters and
their parents should be very proud of them. To come to a foreign country and
make a success of it must be difficult.
One is off to France to get married and one's hoping to become a lawyer.
Really they all deserved better jobs however nice my cafe was!
It's such a shame that none of them feel Poland has anything to offer yet.
They think it'll be their generation that will get things changed and their
current government is too stuffy.
If you remember it was the Polish government that banned the Teletubbies
because Tinky Winky "Promoted gayness". They pretty much feel the same about
their government as many of us do about ours which is:
Stop overregulation of everything, nannying and red tape because it simply
isn't necessary. A lot of us are quite intelligent and can really get on with
our lives and what we do without interference.
The most idiotic thing is the arrival in offices across the land of
"smoking inspectors" checking no-one is smoking inside. What a waste of time and
money. Offices are perfectly able to police themselves.
And isn't it time the "No Smoking" signs everywhere were ditched? We all
know we can't smoke in public places so let's take them down - they just litter
the place and look horrible. In fact let's take a look at all useless signs all
over the country and take them down!
Markets
I bought Dragon Oil today for the first
time in a while after doing well with them last year and the year before. They
haven't really moved for a long time but they appear to be on the move again so
I bought 2,200 shares at 187.96p. Target 220 stop 175. Oil explorer Dragon (DGO)
has seen some nice volume coming in and I really bought on the strength of that.
Elsewhere some of the portfolio is going well. Recent buy PV Crystalox has
been racing higher recently and up nicely again today. Boot H continues a good
looking run higher.
Maybe my patience with MTL Instruments is going to pay off - they started
to rise yesterday with some decent buyers coming in over the last week or so.
Trifast came up with terrific final results with profits up 55%. Dividend
is up 12% and it's had a good start to the year. I cannot fathom why it's not
trading up and over the 100p mark. I can only guess the zip market doesn't get
investors very interested.
Sondex issued a very positive trading statement today, the shares have
responded well. I continue to hold long term. I'm pleased with my Renishaw
short. Shares continue to go down daily and profits are growing!
Star performer for me is recent buy Oilexco - a nice 30p rise today and
the chart looks better and better. Harvey Nash consolidates well at higher level
and I expect to remain patient and wait for another move. Carphone Warehouse
consolidates too. Maybe more to come so I hold.
Saturday afternoon we went to a fete at Christopher's nursery in aid of a
good charity. Which ended up being good fun.
For a tenner's go at the tombola I won: Some posh cosmetics which Mrs NT said
were pretty good, and, er a crate of 26 bottles of diet coke which they have
stored for us at the nursery.
Christopher discovered where some of the sweets for prizes were stashed
and made a few raids. As he was recovering from a virus I turned a bit of a
blind eye (yes I know I spoil him).
On Sunday we were all out on the bikes and we cycled to Holland Park where
Christopher had a lot of fun and we ended up at Wholefoods for lunch. So a very
pleasant weekend.
Markets
Goodness me, with interest rate rise
worries not so prevalent the markets have had a good few days. What have I been
up to? Actually not that much what with travelling. But I made
one or two trades, all on the 14th.
I bought 3,000 shares in Volex (VLX) at 180p. Stop 170 target 220. It's
the usual boring sounding company that gets me going (electronic cable assembly)
although nobody else! I had these on my shortlist for ages and bought once they
started moving on Thursday.
I bought for medium term because the
company is restructuring itself away from poor markets and into good ones. I
like these kind of turnaround companies.
I also bought shares in a company which is moving from AIM to main shortly
and my feeling was the move will generate interest from institutions. That
company is Oilexco (OIL) and of course being an oil company it has big risks.
But recent drilling reports look
encouraging to me and together with the move to the main market it seemed a good
time to buy. I bought on the spreads for £15 a point at 620. Target 750 stop
580.
And I topped up with Hunting (HTG) on the 14th buying an extra £10 at 758.
Target 825 stop 730. Already have a huge gain on this and have taken profits
along the way.
It seemed a good point to get in. On this
occasion I'm looking at a short-term trade here. The crucial resistance point
for me appears to be just under 800p.
Elsewhere best share for me over the last few days has been Harvey Nash
which has sprinted higher since I topped up. Of course it's tempting to bag the
profits but it says today current trading is still strong and I do like to run
my profits.
Vislink has been strong over the past few days and there seems a good
chance it can get back into the 90s where surely it belongs. On the
disappointing list is Xchanging which has come back. However I'll stick with it
for now.
My shorts are actually not losing me too much considering the big rises -
however the Ftse short is getting a bit adrift. However it is supposed to be an
insurance policy and I still think at sometime during the summer the Ftse will
be lower than 6600.
Vanco starts a deserved rise at last. PV Crystalox at last shows some
spirit and is rising at the moment. Carphone Warehouse is showing a lovely
increase since I bought recently and again some temptation to take profits.
Finger nearly on the button. Finally a superb rise in Corin today - I held my
nerve when it dropped last week and glad I did!
Apologies first - there'll be no Friday update - next update will be on Monday.
Somehow I've managed to sprain my lower back and it's quite painful at the
moment - so if you see me hobbling about, that's the reason! It's okish if I'm
standing but going from sitting to standing is when it hurts.... ow!
Being a parent seems to get more and more rewarding. It's delightful
really as he talks more. And it just about makes up for being dragged out of bed
and 6.30am to watch Balamory. What's the story? Please don't tell me I can't
take it any more... Bob The Builder - can he fix it? Really I could care less...
Markets
Up and down and up and down, who knows
where? I simply feel it's sensible for me to have a few shorts open for now as
insurance against a slide. I think most investors are nervous.
I've held shares in Harvey Nash (HVN) for a while. Since December and I'm
in profit by nearly £3k. I noticed big volumes coming in yesterday together with
a rising price.
Two things I could have done, take my profit or buy more but studying the
shares again I decided if I was looking at them afresh I would still be a buyer.
So I bought HVN again - this time 6,000 shares at 79.8p. Target 95 stop
65. I guess you could call it "averaging up". I especially liked the big volumes
that came in and this was one of the main reasons for the top up.
I also think the market cap looks way too
low for current and future likely profits. There appears to be yet more huge
buying going on today with the price rising again - I see a buyer just came in
for 40,000 at 85p.
Vislink has proved very frustrating for shareholders like me. What do you
do when a share you think is cheap keeps going down? Well I would normally
accept what the market is telling me and quit.
But I looked at them afresh and I can't see
any real reason for the fall except for pi's quitting and something about
shareholders upset about directors' pay. Of course growth may have slowed but
that seems in the price and the falls look overdone for me.
I added 5,000 new shares at 77.68p yesterday afternoon. Target on these
92, stop 72. A tight stop in case I am catching the proverbial falling knife.
This is to add to the shares bought a while back in the early 50s.
I took profits in RPS at 355 landing a profit of £780. It's had a good run
and it seemed time to bank. The deal was on June 7th and I forgot to list it
here on that day when I made so many trades - apologies.
Elsewhere an excellent rise in a recent buy of mine, Wellstream which shot
up yesterday and is going up today. Boot H is rising. Carclo reported excellent
figures yesterday and I'll stick with it and Marchpole reported a new contract
win. PV Crysatloz has proved disappointing so far but I'll stick with it and
give it some time.
Vanco announced another set of contract wins today and Goldman Sachs has
put out a new buy note with a target price of 505p. The Goldman note said its
blue chip client list could make it an acquisition target.
All the shorts I took out recently are in profit. I'm up nicely on the
FTSE short. They are proving a decent insurance so far against market falls. I
have to decide whether to get out of them fast if the market zooms higher.
What a glorious Sunday!
Nothing like this country when the weather is good, shame it doesn't happen more
often. On Saturday we paid a visit to the foodstore everyone is talking about -
you may have come across it in the papers over the last few days. It's called "Wholefoods"
and it's a chain of massive organic supermarkets.
It was massive and absolutely packed to the rafters. You can buy anything
your heart desires including 60 types of cheese. You can buy pretty much any
type of meal from Shepherds Pie to a crunchy salad.
We ate upstairs (350 seats available) and the food was very good. But
mightily expensive. £15 for two salads that we boxed up ourselves. Interesting
for retailers to see that people in London anyway are happy to pay any price
going for really good produce.
Fascinating to see that Marks and Sparks which is nearby sees Wholefoods
as a big threat. Why? Because outside their store were promotion girls,
stiltwalkers and clowns giving out balloons to entice shoppers to give
Wholefoods a miss.
This either means M and S Management are on the ball and fighting the
threat or that M and S Foodhalls will eventually be in trouble from new rival
stores. People seemed happier boxing up their own salads rather than buying them
ready packaged.
There was a great atmosphere and I would say management is just amazing.
They have flown in a lot of staff from the States and they know their stuff. Oh,
Wholefoods is in Kensington High St London and maybe coming to near you soon..
Talking food and drink, a Starbucks secret you may want to know. Want a
cheaper and better coffee that's not on the menu?
Ask for a "short" cappucchino! It's basically a small coffee as it should
be - you get all the flavour and it's 25p less than a "tall". If you go into a
Starbucks and ask for a "small" you will get a "tall". You must ask for a
"Short".
You'll find Starbucks keep their "short" cups and mugs hidden away because
they don't want people to see them. That's because the extra 25p they charge for
a "tall" is a huge profit mark up for only a small amount more of extra milk.
The "short" is their lowest profit margin which for us consumers makes it a buy!
And if you want an even nicer coffee and actually TASTE the coffee, ask
for a "short, dry cappucchino". That's what I always ask for and it's delicious
and... cheap!
As you know when you order a "Tall" or any other order the order will be
shouted out loudly. Now watch what happens when you order the "short" coffee.
The order will be... whispered....! That's because they don't want you to know!
Enjoy the savings (roughly £175 a year if you have 2 coffees a day) - just send
me a nice Xmas present!
On Sunday went to see my mum (who was paralysed by a stroke last year).
But sadly she seems to be going downhill a bit. Very tired and hardly said a
word. Just a reminder: enjoy life while you still have it.
Markets
New trades to report. I bought 3,000 shares
in PV Crystalox (PVCS) today at 136.84 and a further 4,000 at 137.72. Target 195
stop 115.
The company is one of the world's leading independent producers of solar
grade silicon products for solar electricity generation systems. Institutions
seemed very keen to get their hands on shares in the recent placing.
New energy related shares are popular and I
expect to hold these for a few months as the company appears to be operating in
an area where there is much demand.
I also bought (on Friday afternoon) 2,500 shares in Carphone Warehouse (CPW)
at 328.1p. I like last week's statement and the company's management appears to
listen and is maybe over the launch glitches of its broadband services. There is
also good volume here. Target 380 stop 290.
I've added a new short in Renishaw (RSW) selling at £10 a point at 672
(Friday). Looks to be in a nasty decline. Target 605 stop 740.
I took a loss of £326 on Vega selling at 263.03. Been very disappointing
but I much prefer to take small losses on shares that have gone lower quickly
than let them slip further.
Elsewhere it's been a good day on the markets with many of my shares
making back some lost ground. However I'm still glad I have a few shorts in
place because it doesn't look like the volatility is going to go away anytime
soon.
Wellstream in particular has rebounded well for me. RM has performed well
after being tipped in the Telegraph. Corin continues to shoot up on good volume
and that proved a good buy for me.
Trifast must be one of the most boring
shares I have ever owned - but it is going up today and with results next
Tuesday maybe at last it will rise!
Air Partner has proved disappointing in the last few days - however I will
give it a little slack though will take losses if it hits my stop. Dyson holds
well above 300.
That Olympics logo!! What can
you say? How much did it cost? I'm sure any of you reading this could have done
a better job for next to nothing. Just how much money do people with power
waste?
How come when they get their hands on public money they spend it like
Beckham? Talking of spending we soon have to decide which lucky school is going
to get our money to educate young Christopher. We went to visit one this
morning. More news on that at the next update!
Goodness me it's nearly time for another holiday! Not long now before
we're all off for a week in Devon in a country cottage with no internet access.
That means for the first time in many years I won't be able to access
prices or a whole week unless I get a quick look at an internet cafe!
Know what? I think it will be good for me to have some real time off! It's
going to be interesting as we'll be there with my multi-millionaire sister who
owns four West End theatres.. and her.. er multi-millionaire husband who is one
of the country's top lawyers!
It's certainly going to be interesting. They are obviously very
competitive and I bet they'll be sore losers when I stuff them at Scrabble!
They want to get to know Christopher better. I suspect it'll probably be
good for them too. However I suspect my sister will still be constantly on her
mobile.
On another subject I forgot to mention at the posh French restaurant we
went to at the weekend we ordered beef for two.
"The chef recommends it rare to medium," said the French waitress.
"Er," we said. "Can we have it medium- well done cos French chefs tend to
cook rare to medium pretty rare..."
"Well, he recommends it rare to medium," she ploughed on gamely. "Well," I
said. "Can we just ask for it not to be too bloody?"
She relented. And kind of whispered... "Ze chef is actually.... English...
So I think you will be allright..."
And, well she was right. We got it perfectly cooked and she didn't get
shouted at by the chef asking why some cretin wanted it cooked well done..So,
well done all round and g and t's too.
This has got to be the saddest story of the week. Radio DJ Hannah Clarkson
has given up her job - so that she can watch Big Brother all day long. The DJ on
Portsmouth-based station The Quay left after her boss wouldn't give her the time
off.
"You're supposed to
enjoy the summer months and I just got fed up with the thought of working while
Big Brother is on telly 24/7," she said. "I can't bear to be without it."
Her boss Sam Matterface was not impressed. "I don't understand why anyone
would give up their career to sit in front of the TV for three months -
especially to watch a load of mindless idiots who everyone will forget about
after the summer."
Sounds like an April Fool - wish it was. I'm sure a lot of people would
love her job. Maybe it's a sign of the times? Not sure which of the brainless
bimbos on BB is worse - take your pick!
Markets
Bit of a miserable old day today. The
market appears to want to go down but I'm not sure for me it's time to sell out
just yet and go short. I am happy to be patient and watch events unfold. However
I have taken some profits.
I took my profits in Morgan Sindall - the massive 250 point rise this week
has just been too much of a temptation even though I like to run my profits.
I sold yesterday at 1544.05p to bank a nice
profit of £1,322 . It's had a lovely run on the back of its acquisition from
AMEC but with a tremendous rise some of that must now be in the price.
I also sold Bluebay yesterday to take profits at 563p. That too has had an
amazing run and I think it's time I cashed in. That's a profit banked of £519.
And perhaps surprisingIy given market conditions, I did make a buy, or
more a top up in Corin (CRG) buying a further 2,000 shares yesterday this time
at 503.5p. Target 620 stop 475. It's the one I like with the hip replacement
products recently given authorisation in the states. Total profits banked for
the site today: £1,841.
Elsewhere most shares have been hit in some way today as investors take
fright and sell. Telecom Plus reported yesterday.
A good strong statement - it's awash with
cash and planning share buybacks. So the shares to my mind are underpinned at
this level and they appear to be cheap. I would buy some more on any quick
pullback.
Vanco produced a detailed statement showing their accounting practices,
criticised by shorters. I'm no accountant but I feel Vanco has answered all the
criticisms and I remain a holder.
My long-term hold Chime produced a good-looking trading statement today
with "all divisions performing strongly" and remain a holder.
Property related stocks have had a torrid day especially Galliford.
However unless it breaks my stop I'll carry on holding. Wellstream and Xchanging
have been hit, however as I feel both are strong companies I think they will
come back for me.
Surprisingly I have one or two in blue! They include McBride up nearly 3%,
Diploma too goes well today and is higher as is Carclo.
Many others are unchanged. It seems the FTSE350 stocks for now are the ones moving while smallcaps seem relatively unscathed.
What a lovely weekend -
hope you all enjoyed the sunshine! We're determined to make the most of
summer and the long evenings and looking to book things up/ go away/ take lots
of holidays.
Our excellent babysitter/cleaner came on Saturday. Oh yes, that's right
she babysits and instead of sitting there watching TV in the evening... she
cleans! Want to know her number? Well, you can't have it. Are you kidding?
We had a wee party in the afternoon for some friends and their children
which was fun. Except, well, I, er ate at least 3 doughnuts and I don't know how
many eclairs.
We then cycled along the river to have dinner at a sensational restaurant
in Chiswick. Except of course I was stuffed with eclaires.
Still, I manfully downed my three courses which were heavenly. I even got
them to box up 4 amazing chocolate truffles to take home.
In the morning I gave toddler Christopher his early morning milk - I then
made myself some tea and toast. I came into the living room to discover the lad
had found the truffles box, broken it open and had scoffed three of them for
breakfast! Like father like son eh!
Sundays are so less cluttered without the Sunday Times! They wonder why
their sales are falling when you can read everything you want to on the net. I
just read the people I like. No mess, no papers hanging around everywhere! And
£2 saved = £100 a year = one very good meal at that restaurant!
We were stopped by PC Plod for... the criminal offence of riding our bikes
just after a sign on the river towpath "cyclists dismount".
As I explained to PC Plod (who was also on a bike and therefore breaking
the law himself) that I had dismounted but had then re-mounted so had in law,
obeyed the sign.
Surprisingly he said: "It's bloody stupid, if I had my way I'd allow
cycling here. See you later!" I guess you could argue considering we weren't a
danger to anyone that was pretty sensible policing!
Markets
Benign markets appear to be continuing for
the moment at least though the FTSE is down a bit. But the portfolio is doing
very well today, and nothing has so far tempted me to buy today.
I never try and fall into the trap of buying something for the sake of it,
or out of boredom. I don't fancy taking any profits on anything either!!
Best news for me today is the announcement from Morgan Sindall, a
long-term hold. Nice to wake up to one of your shares up 200p! Morgan is buying
2 environment businesses from Amec.
Over the long-term it'll mean Morgan will grow in size. While tempted to
take profits on such a big rise today with the market liking this deal so much,
I'll stay with it.
I'm pleased with the progress of my holding in Investment Trust Montanaro
which seems to be climbing most days. My two recent IPO buys Wellstream and
Xchanging both appear strong. Alterian seems back on the march upwards.
RM after its recent contract announcements seems to have conquered 200 for
the moment. Recent buy Air Partner continues to progress very well and is just
about over 1400 today. If it can stay up entry to the smallcap index beckons
this month.
Foseco approaches the point where I might be tempted to sell but when it
hits 220 I will look at it again. Waterman after having a quiet spell has been
climbing over the last couple of sessions and could get above the tricky 200p
area again.
Keller carries on its relentless progress for me. Hedge Funds Bluebay and BH Macro continue to go higher with Bluebay going exceptionally well...
As per usual, site
updates will become three times weekly during the summer - Mons, Weds and
Fridays. Yes, I know but it really is supposed to be the start of summer though
the BH weekend was a disaster and it's not been great this week either.
Elizabeth's sister had flown in from New York for a few days and we were
hoping to do lots of fun things with her and toddler Christopher. But the
continual downpours left us unable to get on our bikes or go to the park. Very
disappointing..
But it was great to see Julie and even better to know she's pretty much
decided to quit New York (where she works as a trader for a bank) to come and
live back here.
We're looking at doing a lot of relaxing this summer - got a week booked
in June with my sister in Devon, Portugal in September and some long weekends
too.
There's a Thomas The Tank Engine steam train ride I want to go on.. I mean
I'm sure Christopher would want to go on...
Talking of Thomas, anyone out there with any old videos of Thomas, Teletubbies,
Little Red Tractor, Fireman Sam, Balamory or suchlike you don't want? Any
gratefully received! Picked up one or two from the charity shop. Way prefer
videos to DVD's.
They can't be destroyed so easily by a toddler and also you don't have to
start the bloody things from the beginning every time and go through all the
tedious copyright warnings..
This wet half term week must be driving parents crackers. Nowhere to go,
nothing to do! I have a feeling parental/child relations are not at their best
this week.
Markets
Since my last update the markets have been
up and down like a yo yo with a downday today following news the Chinese
authorities are trying to cool down its markets by adding more taxes. I remain
wary of the market and anything I buy needs to be very carefully considered.
A couple of trades since I last updated a week ago. I bought Management
Consulting Group (MMC) on May 24th buying 10,000 shares at 52.48p. Made a loss
on these last time I bought them but this time hoping for a better outcome.
I like the recent volumes that have been coming in though for the time
being I am looking reasonably short term, about 1-3 months for the moment. AGM
statement has results inline. Target 60p stop 48p.
One more buy to report, a top up in chemicals maker Dyson (DYS) with 1,900
shares bought at 282p on May 25th. Again good volume coming in through 300p may
be a tricky hurdle for me to get through. Target 320 stop 245.
I took profits on Tribal selling at 161.1 on May 29th which banks a profit
of £612. Waiting for news now on Homeserve's declared approach to Domestic and
General. It is very tempting to take profits with the shares up and over 1400
and I wonder whether I'm being greedy waiting for more?
Looks to me as if Air Partner that I bought last week could make a
surprise promotion into the smallcap index though I'm not sure - with the market
cap up and over £140m I think it stands a good chance.
Generally FTSE250 stocks have been hammered today (Spectris and Hunting
for example) but small cap stocks seem to be holding their own.
So in fact the bulk of the portfolio is unmoved so far today with one or
two small risers. Hardest hit Hunting and Vanco though both are longer-term
holds with good profits built up in Hunting.
Wellsteam has proved a good buy for me so far. Hedge fund BH Macro appears
to be unaffected by the sell off as does plenty of others including shares like
Marchpole, Foseco, Alterian and Waterman.
I'm taking a long bank
holiday weekend off so I'll be back again with the next update on Wednesday.
Elizabeth's sister is coming from New York for a few days so it should be a fun
weekend and she is really looking forwards to seeing toddler Christopher...
Whatever you're doing over the bank holiday weekend I hope you all have a
really good time - the weather forecast looks reasonable with Saturday being the
best day. Enjoy it while you can as by the bank holiday of course it all turns
rotten. I'm sure some of you are taking the kids somewhere for half term and a
lot of you will be on holiday - have fun!
I've increased the amount of care my mum is getting bit still feel bad
that I can't visit her much as she's quite some way away. I would really like to
move her into a fantastic home which is close by and would mean I could see her
more often. For the first time ever she has expressed an interest.
I think at last she
realises how boring it is lying in one room on her own for a lot of the day when
she could be in the company of others - it would really suit her as she is so
gregarious - this home has activities all day for her to take part in. It's
£1,000 per week but worth every penny. We shall see.
Richard Farleigh has been axed from Dragons Den and there is a bit of a
row about it - more on this breaking news in the mailbag section of the website
further down.
Markets
Comments from Alan Greenspan (thought he'd
retired!) have brought the FTSE100 down today and shares are mainly weak as I
write. Oil and miners are down
However I bought a speculative small amount in Air Partner (AIP) today
with 450 shares at 1330. Target 1600 stop 1170. I've been meaning to buy for a
while and keep watching it go up. Of course it is always risky buying a share
that is climbing so fast because it could also go down just as fast.
There seems to be increased volume today.
It recently agreed a 5m lease for development of the Biggin Hill airport site. I
expect to hold for about 4-6 months unless it hits my stop.
Elsewhere Domestic and General reported some decent figures. Not that it
matters - it's all about whether Homebuy goes through with its bid. Under the
rules they have a certain timescale to decide so there should be a decision one
way or the other soon.
One of my holdings Alterian reported today - a positive forward statement
and I think on that I'll leave them now as a long-term hold for possible growth.
BootH has seen a good rise after the recent bonus issue. Otherwise mainly
a small downday for some of my portfolio. However Renold has risen and my oil
service sector stocks are strong on a down day. My holding in John David is
trying to crack 600.
My toddler Christopher
is very keen on money already. I walked him down to the nursery this morning and
he spent most of the time trying to hand money to anyone that passed by.
"I got money!" he kept announcing. He certainly has in his child trust
fund but I'll tell him about that when he's 18. He told the nursery boss
he had some money for her. "Folding stuff I hope," she said. "Sorry, I replied.
"Just half a Euro in total...."
Tonight we are hosting a dinner for our neighbours. They hosted us a while
back so now it's our turn. They run an upmarket art gallery - they are always
smiling probably because the art market has taken off. He is a wine buff - I
have no idea so just bought the most expensive bottle I could find at Tesco's
and hope for the best!
There won't be an update tomorrow (Wednesday) but I'll be back on
Thursday. In the morning there is some stuff to do with my mum and in the
afternoon there's a meeting to go to. Sorry!!
My mum is sadly still very poorly and has a lot of trouble with pain in
her feet. It's quite horrible to see her going through this. I haven't written
much about her recently because I suppose it's pretty personal.
But it is constantly on my mind and I wish I could do something to make
things better. But she is half paralysed now and in need of a lot of care. She
was so independent too.
I suppose selfishly too I know it might happen to me one day. I think
personally I'd rather someone chucked me in the river when it got to a stage
where I didn't enjoy anything anymore.
Right moving on to more pleasant matters. Back to the cruise and the
first night was just great. Amazing food and there were about 12 of us around
the table having a laugh.
Markets
I made one new buy and that's in RM Group (RM.). I picked up 2,500 shares yesterday at 209.95p. Target 250 stop 180. I liked the results from last week and the company which is the largest supplier of IT software and infrastructure to UK schools. It also announced it bought DACTA. My aim here is a slow grower for the next 6 months or so which is my timeframe.
A lovely few days away..
and it's a bit weird getting back! I still feel a bit dizzy from the ship and
things seem to be moving round. Or have I just had a glass of wine too many?
Where's my butler? I can't cope without him. Bring me tea and toast my
good man. Oh bugger he isn't here anymore and I'll just have to make it myself.
It was a bit difficult leaving Christopher behind on Monday morning but we
knew we were leaving him in the good hands of his grandmother and grandfather.
We grabbed a mini cab to Heathrow - a really good driver who knew his way
around the queues in a lovely car and he was nice too. I doubled his fare of £25
by giving him a £25 tip.
He looked at me as if I
was crazy and disappeared pretty fast with the £50 note in case I changed my
mind! But he really did deserve it!
The plane flew into Nice with just a spot of turbulence (mainly caused by
BA's hideous "egg and bacon roll") At Nice we were herded onto a coach to take
the short trip down to the six star Cruise ship "The Silver Whisper".
What an amazing welcome. There are something like 380 passengers and 290
crew so it's nearly one to one! You're treated like royalty - staff are lined up
with amazing canapes, champagne and hot towels.
Then to the suite - well you may have seen the picture. Amazing! Enormous
with its own terrace. Vintage bottles of wine and champagne. Boxes of
chocolates, fruit and flowers everywhere!
Oh, then the butler arrived in full black tie gear. Yes, the butler. Not
Jeeves but Joy. Anything you want, anytime. Starting off with more fancy canapes.
The suite had a massive plasma Tv screen with DVD library, two bathrooms and a
bar. And its own jacuzzi.
And it was all free courtesy of Telecom Plus - a free trip for 300 or so
of its distributors like me who'd done well for them. No tips expected either.
In the evening we joined others at one of the tables in the restaurant
serving - of course - gourmet food. I knew the company would be good.
After all everyone there
has an interesting tale to tell. They are all people who have either quit the
rat race already to run their own businesses, or are working hard to get out of
whatever lousy office job they are in.
More on the trip on the site all week including events following on from
the captain's announcement: "Ladies and Gentlemen, there will be a bit of a sea
swell tonight..." And on that cliffhanger...(more tomorrow)
Markets
A
few trades to report as I've been away - some made before my hols and some
after. I didn't trade from the boat. May 10th I bought 5,000 more Dmatek (DTK)
at 164.95p to add to my current holding. These I bought with a long-term view of
at least a year. Target 245 stop 130.
May 11th: I bought 700 shares in John David Group (JD.) at 573p. I bought
mainly because they are in a fine uptrend with plenty of good volume. Target 650
stop 533.
May 17th: I bought 2,000 shares in Wellstream (WSM) at 390.5p. Easy reason
for this one - one of my favourite sectors (oil services) - it's a new main
market issue that will go straight into the FTSE 250.
Quite
simply I am simply following history that Sondex and Hunting in the same sector
went a lot higher and I am hoping for the same here. A definite long-term view
on these and wouldn't be surprised if I was still holding in two years' time.
May 18th: It was hard to weigh up Vega's trading statement. They will miss
targets slightly but there is plenty positive too. Normally I sell the lot on
even a slight question mark and this seemed slight. So in the end I sold half at
270.3p and kept the rest. For site purposes I'll call it the 286 position
sealing a loss of £362.
My
patience with Domestic and General has paid off well - Homebuy says today it is
interested in bidding though there is no firm deal and it could fall through.
Shares are up massively and I'll stick with it on the basis there looks a good
chance the deal will happen.
Elsewhere plenty of healthy rises especially in oil services where Sondex
and Hunting have both had brilliant weeks and patience is paying off with bot of
those too.
My recent Investment trust purchase Montanaro goes well. Boot H did a
stock split today so though ADVFN shows it down 70% it is in reality up a bit!
All holders basically get bonus shares.
Some of my portfolio is breaking out very nicely especially McBride.
Foseco looks strong as do Keller and Morgan Sindall. Think I'll go on holiday
more often!
So afraid this is the last update for a while.. until in fact Monday May
21st. This is because I'm off on the luxury paid
for cruise with 120 others.
I really need the break from routine and definitely the site! Much as I
love you all I need a rest and a good holiday! Toddler Christopher is
being looked after by Elizabeth's mum and we will really miss him - but it's not
for long and we'll talk to him on the phone every day.
If you're mailing me I will catch the mail from time to time and try and
clear the mailbox before I leave on Monday - otherwise I'll mail you back when I
get back at the weekend.
And want to know the suite we have on the ship, the Silver Whisper? ok,
it's the Grand Suite (http://www.silverseaships.com/sssw_grand.html). Now don't be jealous. I sold loads of mobile phones
in the past to get this so I deserve it but check out the amenities provided!
"Butler service". Goodness me. Does that mean I'm going to have someone
akin to "Jeeves" following me about agreeing with everything I say?
Like the sound of champagne "replenished whenever". I wonder what the
"special chocolate welcome" will entail? A huge pile of chunky kit kats, mint
aero bars and flakes for me to dive into?
My favourite has to be "choice of pillow".. Well, er, I'll have the white
one please butler. And does the valet dress me? "Dear boy, I'll wear the jeans
and T-shirt combo today...." Dinner at the officer's table sounds a bit scary.
Do we have to salute?
We fly to Nice and the boat takes us to Monte Carlo (where I hope to break
the bank in which case this is the last update ever) and then Rome. Also got to
take part in the poker competition.
I have a feeling judging by the size of the suite that we'll be holding a
bit of a party in there one evening if the champage is going to be replenished
at will... think the butler will join in?
"Jeeves, please see to it that Madames Beyonce, Britney Spears and The
Pussycat Dolls are placed in the CD player and the play button is pressed (as
well as my trousers)."
Yes, I can see the merriment now as our fellow cruisers dance merrily as
the refrain "Doncha wish your girlfriend was hot like me..." spill out onto the
waters of Monte Carlo.
Or maybe we'll just have an early night....I'll be back with tons of
gossip from the cruise Monday next. It's all a bit of a mystery and very
exciting!.
Markets
Tricky time I feel! Personally I'm cautious
about buying anything and I feel a bit wary with the markets having done so well
this year.
But I'm also wary of shorting given the amount of M and A activity going
on and being stuck in a short position the day a bid is announced. So in other
words to be honest I'm not sure where it's all going!
So I'm just in the process of top slicing a few positions, reducing one or
two and taking the odd profit too and this is also to do with going on holiday
and not being able to trade for probably at least 3-4 days. I'd like to keep
some cash on the sidelines for a bit too.
As I say in my book I try not to fall in love with shares and I think Hill
and Smith is a lovely company but I had a look at it today - it's had a great
run and I decided to take my profits this morning and sold my 2,000 shares
bought in March at 312 for 353.25p - that banks a profit of £825.
I also sold some of my Alterian holding, top slicing at 177.3p - for the
website I'll close the 135 position (still holding the other one) for a profit
of £1,269. I still like the company but for now it seems right to take a few
profits off the table.
I took losses in Dev Sec at 595 as they were approaching my SL for a loss
of £251. Not going to argue with the market on this one.
I top sliced some Scott Wilson for the site at 342p. An ahead of
expectations trading statement sees the shares gain but again I feel it's worth
banking some of my profits.
So I've closed the 306.36 and the 225 site
positions for a total profit of £499 and £2,340 respectively. The others are
kept open. Total profits for the site today is £4,682.
Elsewhere a good statement from Fenner - I get frustrated with these but
will continue to hold for now. Vitec has been disappointing but it has just gone
ex dividend for quite a bit. Boot H has gone ex dividend today so it remains
steady given the big payout.
Been toying with taking Spectris profits but just decided against for now.
Vanco's been holding up well against the shorters and awaiting a statement from
Trifast.
Last night I was hopeful.. I was in my office and could see the Mrs watching a show called "Obedient Wives". Well, this could be the start of a great new era, I thought.
Sadly she just tutted
and only watched it for ten minutes. I thought about suggesting she watched the
whole thing and perhaps put into practice some of the suggestions made by the
obedient wives. I didn't. She'd only have disobeyed me.
Bank holiday weekends in May are great, space and time to do things and
think... and plenty of time to play with my toddler Christopher who is really
enjoying the selection of Thomas the Tank Engine books mailed to me by a reader
(thanks once again!)
He knows all the names of the different engines now, better than me! I
took him to the park on Saturday evening. He spent a lot of time shouting at
another toddler: "Bob The Builder! Can He fix it? Yes he can!"
An excellent meal out Sunday night with some friends at a great French
restaurant. Learned some interesting things about a certain market "shorter"
which I would love to share but I can't!
With a toddler there's nothing more exciting than getting out in the
evening for a long relaxed meal. It was a very good restaurant - I had some
lovely lamb and best of all chocolate fondant for pudding...
I'm sure it makes you as
mad as me to se the anguish caused by the abduction of the little girl in
Portugal. How could anyone take a child away from their parents is beyond me?
What sort of person/people could do a thing like that?
It's just pure evil. I and I'm sure you all hope the girl is found alive
and something very nasty happens to whoever took her.
Not surprised John Reid resigned. Couldn't quite imagine him and Brown
hitting it off in the cabinet room. Good move by him really, shame more
politicians don't go when their time is up.
Astronomer Patrick Moore said today: "The trouble is the BBC now is run by
women and it shows soap operas, cooking, quizzes, kitchen-sink plays. You
wouldn't have had that in the golden days."
I would like to see two independent wavelengths - one controlled by women, and one for us, controlled by men." I thought we had that already Patrick - the one controlled by men is Sky Sports isn't it?
Markets
A grumpy start to the week by the markets.
Interest rates are due to go up this week, the weather's rotten and traders wish
they were still on holiday. Oh yes, and it's this time last year the market fell
away. I like to make you all feel happy.
Personally, I'm going to be very careful about buying anything new for
right now. And I'm looking at a few shorts. However a lot of speculation in the
papers and on TV today about Morrisons (MRW) being the next supermarket bid
target. I'm not really so sure Ken will sell up - but you never know.
So I've tentatively bought a few Morrisons on a spreadbet this morning for
£20 at 339. Target 420 stop 300. Trouble with these bid situations is the moment
they get ruled out shares involved tend to go down. But there seems to be a lot
of smoke about regarding this company so I'll hop on board for now and see what
happens.
Boot H goes ex dividend for a whopping near 17p tomorrow - so the shares
should open 15-20p lower in the morning. There's bound to be some selling
because some shareholders will think their shares are tanking rather than just
going ex. Amazing how that always happens, I always know my ex dividend dates!
Shareholders like me will shortly get 4
extra shares for every one held which means the pricing of the shares will be in
the 300-400 area rather than 12-1300 - this should increase liquidity and make
the spread much tighter which it could really do with.
Always good on days like this when you have shares in your portfolio going
up or staying steady. So on days like this very happy to hold shares like
Marchpole, Hill and Smith, etc.
Nothing of mine really been knocked that badly - Alterian and Carclo have
come back a bit but not enough to ruffle my feathers just yet. Waterman's down a
touch too but again for now I'm not worried.
I even have a few with a touch of blue! Step forward Diploma, Harvey Nash,
VP, Montanaro and Keller. Interesting to see Keller rise on a day like this. The
1000 level continues to be a tough one to break though.
A big buyer of one of my recent purchases today - 46,000 shares bought in
Vega which gives me hope. Trifast has seen a lot of buying and I hope it'll edge
through 90p soon.
Hurrah!!! A bank holiday
weekend. If you think there's going to be an update on Monday think again! I'll
be back on Tuesday. However I won't be back for long I'm afraid as I'm off on
holiday next Monday. But the main thing is it's going to be lovely weather so shut down your
computers, your charting systems and all that rubbish, get out there and enjoy
yourselves. We should all make the most of beautiful days. Looking forwards to
having fun in the park with my toddler Christopher.
His usual thing is to make a dash for the mini fountains and get wet
through. Then preferably hurl himself into the sand pit... Quite enjoy doing
that myself too!!
Thanks so much to reader Keith who has just sent me a whole boxful of
Thomas The Tank Engine books for Christopher.
Keith thank you so much!
He is going to go crazy
when he gets back from nursery today because he loves those books... I am bowled
over by your generosity and it was a lovely surprise..
Fancy a bank holiday weekend share trading horror story? It is from someone who's an excellent trader now by
the way - so it does have a happy ending.
"In 1998 I sold a large house in Tipperary and was intending to buy
another - closure three months later. It was at the time of the Ryanair float
and rather than put the money on deposit, I thought I'd invest in that.
A delayed flight had me receiving the money a day later than expected. That day Powerscreen (the best run/most successful Irish company at the time) dived on bad news. Everyone said it had been way oversold.
Guardian Royal had just paid 630 for 5 million shares. They hit 220. I asked around, everyone agreed that in 6 weeks they'd be back to where they were. I put all the proceeds into it.
Massive fraud discovered
(CEO/CFO/CTO involved). They were sold for pennies. I lost the value of a very
nice Georgian house. Lesson: don't believe recovery stories in the middle of
disaster."
There! Does that make you feel better if you lost a few quid on something
recently?
Markets
A surprisingly good day for me. I was
expecting it to be a quiet pre bank holiday market but it's been really strong.
Of course as the markets rise I expect to get a bit more cautious and today I
have just held on to what I already have.
Obviously some good rises for my portfolio today given the strength of
stocks. Alterian is probably the best mover of the day for me and that races
higher. Slough Estates where I'm hoping for a bid is on the way up too.
Vanco's statement has really sent the shares flying and I'm glad I topped
up when the shorters were spreading nonsense about the shares. Now up nearly
20%.
Bit of a treeshake in Marchpole today which I just ignored. Keller heads
back up to the 1000 level. Trifast at last is bombing along and repaying the
patience I have had in holding it, some very decent buying coming in and hoping
for good results.
Morgan Sindall is breaking up well along with Tribal. BH Macro sees steady
buying and good old McBride is heading back up to 250 level. Montanaro is
starting to rise again. Disappointing to see Boot's spread widening but that
should be put right after the bonus issue.
Vega has stalled just before getting to 300p as shares often do near a
whole number. I'm hoping it'll motor again and crash through!
So a good end to a cracking week which wasn't really expected. Being May
and with indicies at highs I was expecting a downturn.
As I'm away on holiday the week after next for a week without being able to trade I may be forced into taking a few profits to be on the safe side. But I'll decide on that when the time comes!
Great entertainment last
night from The Apprentice. Which is what it is now - just an entertainment show!
The prize isn't worth having and the contestants and Sir A just want to show off
on the telly. Which is fine.
You have to sell British food to the French. Not an easy task but to end
up in Macro buying cheddar cheese must be the worst idea possible. But very
funny.
And when Kristina (looks a likely winner) dropped her trump card about
Bomber Paul having a bit of a thing with Kate - that was a classic.
He really has got no business sense at all and was rightly fired. But
really none of them have any business sense which bizarrely makes the whole
thing so watchable. Great fun!
Markets
A new buy to report that is likely to do well this year. The company concerned is Vega (VEG) and some tea and toast cost me a few points here yesterday lunchtime.
I was waiting for a bit of volume movement
before buying this one and noticed it was up 1p so that got me interested. But I
went off for a tea and toast break and nearly choked when I returned - it was up
7p!
However though it's not always wise to chase shares I picked up 1,500 at
285p and 2,300 at 286p yesterday. Target 350 stop 255. The price went up sharply
this morning but it's come back and I'm tempted to buy a few more.
This one is taking off if you look at the chart. Although one or two of
its markets aren't doing that great it is its aerospace market that interests me
and it's recently won a £19m contract with Thales.
While it has its risks with figures a bit lower last time and it has gone
up a bit I think there is enough possible reward here to justify a buy. Anyway
I've bought it now so there. It's just one of those that could rocket. I guess
300p will be a barrier but it could do nicely from there given no nasties.
Stating the bleedin obvious the higher the market goes the more careful
you have to be and I'm thinking of some profit taking quite soon.
Anyhow for the moment another good day - my buy of Vanco looks good now
with the company today announcing another contract win and confirmation free
cash flow is coming - this is in response to a concerted attack by shorters who
are losing money heavily. Once they close out the shares will carry on rising.
Shares Mag wrote a terrible piece claiming
it as a sell simply lifting what the shorters were saying without giving the
other side of the argument.
Charter rises again very nicely and could break up even further. Recent buys Boot H and Spectris continue to do very nicely indeed. Hunting is blasting
higher today, wish I'd bought some on the low.
Marchpole carries on its wonderful run, can it press through 200p? Trifast
looks interesting, some good buying has been coming in and it really should be
trading up near 100p.
I've been patient with VP and that could be about to pay off as it is
quietly advancing at the moment, some interesting buying is going on..
OK, the second day of May and
the market it ok so far.... crossed fingers eh? Forgot it's a bank holiday next
Monday. Well, enjoy it won't you. My toddler is now leading us in what only can be described as pre-bed
aerobics. We have to chase him round the apartment and follow what he does which
includes fast running and sudden sitting down. Who needs the gym?
Been doing some lovely morning runs around The Thames. Up Hammersmith
Bridge and back over Putney Bridge. Listening to my crappy £2.99 radio while the
I-Pod languishes in a drawer.
Markets
There's a lovely-looking investment trust I
bought this morning - in fact it came
second in the vote for the best share of the day.
Investment Trusts basically buy and sell shares like we do - and you can
buy and sell them like ordinary shares and they go up and down in line with the
value of the shares inside the trust.
This trust basically seems brilliantly run and just keeps on going up -
have a look at the chart! It is the Montanaro European Small Companies trust (MTE)
- I bought 1,000 shares today at 437.67p. Target 490 stop 395.
The Trust invests in shares in smaller European companies (stating the
bleedin' obvious) - their top ten holdings include a couple of very successful
investments in companies in Austria.
They publish their net asset value every day which just keeps going up!
Their top holdings include some very successful investments. The managers here
look really sharp and looks worth backing for more gains.
Buys Boot H and Spectris both going very well indeed - in fact
Spectris is now up more than 60 points since I bought a spreadbet live on the
day.
If Spectris can get over 1000, there could be some more substantial gains
in store. Boot H has done well to get over the 1300p mark.
And once the bonus share issue is done and
dusted there should be a lot more value here and I am a happy holder. Thanks to
all of you who came for voting for it!
Well, what can I say about Marchpole except I wish I hadn't taken some
profits a while back. I've more than trebled my money on this one and it's
flying again today.
Still not tempted to take profits as it
looks like there is plenty more upside. Looks like the City is at last being won
over after being sniffy over MPH during its troubles a while back.
Looks like well-known shorter Simon Cawkwell's attempt to bring down
Vanco's price by slagging it off on pretty much every website and bulletin board
there is, isn't really working.
It all looks a bit desperate to me. I reckon he's losing a packet from shorting it at much lower prices than now. Actually I rather like him, we could do with a few more characters in the market and I love his hate of authority and completely agree with him on that.
But I don't agree with him on Vanco! If it
rises much more followers will be closing out which should push the price up to
the 480 level again.
BH Macro continues to rise, what a great buy that has been. Some very nice
looking big buyers in Trifast yesterday which bodes well for good results.
While being a Trifast shareholder has been
a bit like watching paint dry these trades could be the start of a nice
pre-results run up. I'd be tempted to buy more if I didn't already have quite a
lot!
Charter is still cracking and Tribal continues higher. Glad I bought back
into Carclo at 110 yesterday! It's leaping higher as I write up to about the
120p level. Maybe I should have just topped up and not taken profits too!
Looks as if some decent buying coming into CAR and the shares may race
higher. Galliford Try is putting on a bit of a spurt today.
Telecom Plus is heading higher again in the run up to results. Vislink
looks like it may almost be time to buy some back as it has strong support in
the low 80s. Keller is doing its best still to crack that 1000!
So that's it. Tony's
going to announce his departure date next week. Expect he's probably looking
forward to making his millions on the lecture circuit.
I can see him in 10 year's time doing the rounds of the cruise ships -
getting free holidays in return for a talk. Sure Cherie will talk him into it!
That woman Kate Moss sure is a brilliant marketer! Her new range of
clothes has been all over the TV and radio - she put in an appearance of a few
seconds and has probably generated millions of pounds worth of sales.
Well in a way good for her! She really has shown how to do it. No need for
lots of expensive ads. Just get some press coverage. Always works!
Markets
May is here which is making investors
(rightly) a bit wary. Many were caught out last year when the market sank for
about 6 weeks. Last year I halved spreadbet positions let it sink and then
bought some shares near the bottom so I did ok out of it.
As I said to an e-mailer today I think a "crash" is more likely if we hit
6800 than if we head lower now. Some people warn of a big crash to come. They
could be right but I just don't know and still feel able to trade as it happens.
However I do think it wise to have some cash and not be too leveraged either.
Anyway considering the market is feeling a bit sorry for itself I'm not
doing badly! I topped up again in share "winner" Boot H (BHY) and bought
500 more shares at 1295. Looks like market maker Evo has been holding it back
for whatever reason but I reckon they may have to give way soon and it'll go
higher.
Will be brilliant when the consolidation is
done and it's at the 300p area, should see more action and this looks a goodie
to hold during any market turbulence.
Carclo (CAR) was an interesting mover this morning. It's been a bit weak
recently and I could see level 2 calling it a short-term sell. Tricky to decide
whether there was real selling or whether it was just a shake. So I decided to
do what I don't usually do for a change and try and play it and sold half at
114p waiting to try and buy some back a little lower. For website purposes we'll
call it closing out the positions at 115.9 (loss £95 ) and at 90.76 (profit
£866) to bank a total profit of £771.
And my plan worked. Well, not to a really fantastic degree but worked a
bit! I bought back 4,000 CAR shares near the bottom of the drop at 110p. Target
130 stop 95. Plenty of potential in the company though which is why I bought
some back rather than just simply taking half profits.
I topsliced a little Alterian at 184. There seemed to be a seller at 186 -
for web purposes we'll call it closing the 177 position for a profit of £125. I
still keep the main bulk of my Alterian and I'd be topping up again if there was
any real weakness. Looks just for now as if the market-makers have a few shares.
Elsewhere an excellent day considering the market is weak. Boot H is going well waiting to break the 1300
barrier. Looks like one of the market-makers is trying to hold it back which
could be good news.
Spectris is doing spectacularly well - up more than 40 points since a few days ago. If it can crack 1000 in a weak market it will look even better!
Yesterday's buy Slough Estates is still motoring up and still looks a likely bid
target.
Charter continues to run away upwards and still running my winnings, more
than 300 points up on that one now as well as plenty of profits taken on it in
the past.
Marchpole continues to strengthen every day though at some point looking
forwards to taking my £10,000 plus profits!
Waterman's been sitting nicely above 200 for a while and consolidating at higher
levels. Should move again soon.
Tribal consolidates well at a higher price, a bit more there I think and
Keller still tries hard to beat the 1000. And good old BH Macro continues to
look a superb buy as it carries on rising every day.
Another top up in a quality but risky oil play in my high risk sipp. More
details on that today to those who subscribe to the daily lunchtime e-mail.
The environment, the environment, something the Government loves to hide behind especially when it comes to taxing us more..But did you know these so called environmentally friendly new biofuels are anything but?
Whole swathes of
rainforests are being bulldozed to plant palm oil trees which are disturbing
nature's balance and causing a whole host of new problems?
These trees drink 12 litres of water each per day and rivers are beginning
to empty. Rainforest dwellers and animals are being forced out of their natural
habitat. All backed by our government.
Well, at least it's the end of Tony Blair. How lovely will it be not to
put up with him anymore. A shame really - he genuinely seemed to want to put the
world to rights in 1997 but he became a slave to spin and the ten years has been
nothing but style and no substance.
We've been robbed of our money for much poorer services. The money's been
spent in the wrong areas and on the wrong people. He was lucky to inherit a good
economy.
Markets
Goodness me a lot to get through.
First one of the winners was Boot H (BHY)
and I bought 400 shares live just before the close of the day at 1288.9. Target
1395 stop 1150.
Plenty of positives on this one as I said there. One of the main positives
is a stock split is about to happen so the share price will be re-listed at
around 300p rather than 1300. Which is good news and should bring new liquidity.
Fund managers and Pi's don't really like buying tenner plus shares and this move
will really help.
This one also has a good chance of getting into the FTSE250 later this
year. It's a good solid company that should also do OK if May falls are round
the corner.
It has a number of different income streams and over time I expect the
shares to be a big winner. They are never the sort to double in a week but
should be the bedrock of any decent portfolio. I think there is at least 20%
available here and sleep at night too.
Spectris (SXS) was also on my shortlist. Though it didn't attract
many votes from delegates looking at level 2 live on it I liked the look of it
very much and bought that one live on the day too as a spreadbet this time
(demonstrating a spreadbet buy) and bought for a tenner at 936p. Target 1050
stop 880.
As I said on the day a lovely looking FTSE250 stock which looks cheap
despite recent rises and one to hold tight. It's got a brilliant business model
and is also buying back its own shares which will keep propping up the price and
means very little downside too. Looks a winner! Certainly glad I bought live on
the day as it's up 33p today already!
This morning I also bought Slough Estates (SLOU) for £10
at 768. My reason for this one is quite simple. I think it'll be taken over this
year - bookies only offering 3/1 on a takeover. This would be a great fit with
any number of property companies.
There's been some interesting volume
recently and I think this one could be taken over at about the 950 mark. Well, I
guess we'll see if I'm right in the weeks ahead! Target 950 stop 720.
I sold Walker this morning at 390.1p to take a loss of £24. (Shan't have
sleepless nights about that!). Just complete boredom there! I was in as a bid
possible but now I'd wait until there was some decent buying volume.
Finally on Thursday I bought Tribal (TRB) - 4000 shares at 145.82. Target
195 stop 120. A great-looking turnaround story this one - I was put off by the
debt but an announcement last week changes all that with a disposal paying off a
good deal of it. Like the story here and expect to hold medium-term.
April has really been sensational and here's hoping nasty May won't spoil
things! Charter's been my biggest winner - it went up more than 40p points on
Friday and another 10p today and while tempting to take profits the upswing
looks strong and there may be more here.
Marchpole continues to climb bigtime and up more than £10,000 on this one,
so very nice! Another contract win announced last week and the shares are in
much demand. My original purchase at 13p in old money looking exceptionally
good.
Keller is having another go at closing above 1000p. As I keep saying this
one could easily go up 200 points. My top up in Domestic and General looks well
timed as good buying volume comes in as results beckon. They should be top end.
Diploma is having a great run and nears 1000. Vanco is picking up, a buy
in the Chronicle which like me dismisses the claims of some desperate shorters
who have been trying to spread muck on it on various websites.
They must have lost quite a lot and the
muck raking hasn't really worked especially as a lot of the shorting was done at
much lower prices. They will get bored soon and the price should resume its
upward trend.
I've spotted a very decent looking AIM share for inclusion in my high risk
pension plan (SIPP). More news on what that is to those who subscribe to the
lunchtime e-mail.
Fancy a laugh - click on
google and then "Maps". In the search type in "London to New York". Have a look
at the directions which take you nearly, er 29 days to get there.. and the real
laugh is how googlemaps expect you to get over the Atlantic Ocean - see
direction number 37!! The whole thing is hilarious and it's for real!
This is the last update till Monday...
Fantastic to see local
rebellions are causing councils to backtrack on only collecting the rubbish once
every two weeks.
At last people are starting to take action. Once a week must be a minimum. Seems
to be governments and councils continue to take the piss out of us offering us
less for more.
Well done to Man Utd for their super win last night. Makes up a bit for our
terrible cricket team.
Tony Blair looked a bit tired at question time today. He really should
have quit last year but I guess he wants to make it ten years. Have you noticed
Gordon Brown seems to have completely disappeared?
I expect it's nothing to do with the fact Labour is going to get a
whacking at the local elections and he's staying out of the way?
Ma Bouna writes: I am
from China and have an interest in stock trading. Fortunately, my situation can meet the
requirement of being a stock trader. It is in front part of
your book. Till now I have no shares on my hand. I decide to buy some, but
Shanghai stock market is hot. The index increased 1000 point in the past several
months. And I do not want to be the last fool.
So I would like to wait
for a moment and do some home work. But when I heard some one making much money
in the market, it made me....you know that feeling, it is complicated.
And in Chinese stock market, the situation is complicated. The stock
market is not like your European countries or USA. It has some local features.
Some company like TCL group, profit warning one after another, but stock price
increased day after day, sometime it dropped a little, then it came back soon. I
can not find the reason. I am confused at all. Do you have any suggestion about
that?
Hallo and good to hear from you in China! It is difficult for me to have
much to say because your stock market is so different. normally in the UK a
share would fall after a profits warning.
However it might start
to rise because the market thought it was sold off too much or because it was so
weak it might become a bid target and another company might buy it - of course I
don't know anything about the company you speak of.
The best thing to do if you think you may be buying at the top of the
market is set a stop loss as suggested in my book so if worst comes to worst you
won't lose too much.
Please stay in touch and let me know how you get on.
David writes: I have been investing for four years now with mixed success
and am now showing a slight loss, the thing that keeps catching me out is buying
on historical financial data and then having the company release a profits
warning out the blue.
In your opinion, do profits warning always happen in threes? Is there any
way of pre-empting such a warning and if so do you always enforce your positions
with stringent stop losses?
Feel a bit at mercy of the company press announcements.....
Hi David. I'm afraid there won't be an investor in the country that hasn't
been hit by a profits warning. It does just happen out of the blue. It's
happened to me a few times over the years. Rather than fret about it the best
thing to do is just get out fast, take the stock off your monitor.
Otherwise you just spend time poring over why you didn't see it coming.
There is no foolproof system to avoid being in shares that issue warnings.
Several times recently companies have issued warnings just a couple of weeks
after saying everything was fine and even after directors had just bought!
Steve writes: Interesting, no hairdressers for 10 years, I calculate
[going every six weeks] you have saved the best part of a grand. Is their no end
to your talents for making money work for you!
Yes, Steve, that's why I shaved it off in the first place - I am that tight!!
Markets
You know I keep on banging on about this - you
bought a really great share and you see it keeps going but but you can't bring
yourself to buy anymore at a higher price cos you wish you'd bought a load more
at the lower price...
You have to get over the emotion and I always manage it! So I bought more
Waterman today (WTM) - a further 2,000 shares at 205p to add to the previous
purchases at 185 and 191. Target 280 stop 180.
I've gone on about this one before but I really like it. One of the
reasons I bought more today was the nice little rise to confirm it's gone above
200p and also the big buys (for this share) made this morning of nearly 100,000
shares in two lots.
It has good growth prospects both organically and by acquisition and has
good-looking rising profits and dividends. It also has potential a a bid target
and there is very little downside and no chance of a sudden profits warning!
It's buying Boreham which looks a good fit and more and more interest is coming
in here. There's also a chance of promotion into the smallcap index later this
year or early next if the price keeps going up.
And it also has a beautiful looking rising trend chart. So I really don't
mind buying at a bit higher. It's never one of those that will suddenly rise 20p
in a day (unless there's a bid) but it's a good solid tuckaway that should hold
up if the market has a horrid summer.
Some excellent risers for the portfolio today - star award this time round
to Diploma up 20p - I'm up more than £2k on the buy and should it get over 1000
further rises are likely.
Recent top up Domestic and General is enjoying a good bounce and further
rises could be seen if it can top the 1100 level again - results in 4 weeks
which I think will be good and put a light under the price.
Some really good breakouts today - Charter goes extremely well and gets
ever closer to breaking the 1000p level, been a great share.
Keller too yet again tries to get above 1000 - a big rise in store if it
can do it convincingly. Mouchel Parkman tops 450 again and looks a must have in
any portfolio.
Telecom Plus looks very strong as it heads towards results. Nearly doubled
my money on that one. And one of my unsung heroes, Scott Wilson is really
motoring now and up more than 100 points on my first buys in that stock.
So some very good across the board rises today with the portfolio
continuing to rise very nicely indeed..I'll be back with more market news on
Monday.
It's quite bizarre getting
e-mails from China but quite nice too. The book is strangely selling well over
there. And I don't know anything about Chinese markets! But I guess in the
future they are going to be big...
The e-mailers have such brilliant English - some of them seem interested
in the London market. I wonder whether that will become a really big thing,
Chinese traders working the UK and US markets?
I've had one which I'll publish tomorrow from a Chinese chap who is
struggling with a profits warning from a Chinese company.
I think it might well be interesting to have a blog of a Chinese investor
to give us all an idea of how similar or not their market is to ours.
Really looking forwards to some holidays this year. So far lined up: in
May a free three day cruise courtesy of Telecom Plus - we fly to Nice and then
onto a 6 star boat, plus tours of Rome and plenty of bingo and Poker!
In June we're off to Devon with Christopher and my older sister to stay in
a lovely country cottage. And early September we're going to a luxury resort in
Portugal which is especially good at catering for two year olds full of energy!
Kev writes: I have just
read today's update and there is no mention of trifast my most boring buy ever!.
Due to your hectic day did you miss the trading statement and do you still stand
by your targets. I thought the first news in four months would have brought in
buyers but no...
Hi Kev.. Thing is I have a lot of patience and stick with ones I think
will come good even if they don't move for a while. But really surely if you are
bored with it and want excitement, sell it and move into something else!
Markets
A bit down today although nothing to
worry about re my lot for the moment. I bought a few more Domestic and General (DGG)
yesterday afternoon to add to my current holding on the basis that it looks very
cheap and came down to what looks like a good support area. It looks like it has
been way oversold for no reason.
I bought 500 shares at 1065.85p. Target 1250 stop 950. Results are due in
4 weeks and judging by the recent trading statement there shouldn't be any nasty
surprises.
This is the company that supplies extended warranties for TVs and
electrical equipment, etc. Claims for repairs are very low so the company makes
a good profit.
It's gradually extending into other countries and has just launched into
Australia. Unless there is something I don't know about I really can't see why
it shouldn't be rated higher and the recent falls I think give me the chance to
buy at what I hope will come to be seen as a good price.
It's tricky to buy and sell because the price can move 20p-30p on a few
tiny order book orders so it's a little irritating to get good entry/exit but
value will come out and I think it might start to rise as we get near to results
day on May 24th.
I took a loss on Latchways - it's a great company but sentiment is against
it for now and sold at 1035 yesterday afternoon for a loss of £515 on the 1140
position and £508 on the 1150. Not so bad because I also picked up a dividend of
nearly 40p too! One I'll watch and look to buy back into at the right time.
After holding my remaining Dragon Oil for some time even a good trading
statement can't seem to shift them! On that basis for the moment I think it's
time to take what are very good profits.
Profits on my sale at 174 today give profits of £640 on the 158 position
and a massive £3,215 on the 109 to yield total profits of
£3,855.
I think Dragon could end up as a bid target in the autumn or next year and
I'd be interested in buying back on good volume.
The portfolio holds up well in a down market and star of the day is
Development Securities up very strongly indeed - could there be good news on the
way?
Recent top up Alterian still sees very good buying coming in - as I said
it's bound to stall a bit as it gets towards 200p but I think market makers are
short here and I'll ignore any treeshakes down and hold firmly. A long way to go
yet.
Mouchel Parkman is going great guns today as is Dyson. Keller and Morgan
Sindall look strong on a down day. A few down but only by a touch so nothing
much to worry about for right now...
Isn't it a great feeling now
summer is nearly here - it was a lovely weekend in London and we're making full
use of our lovely terrace by the Thames!
You have to admire those running the marathon. I do 4 miles some days
around the river here and it takes me 45 minutes! I suspect a marathon would
take me all day and even then I wouldn't finish. It must take some guts and
determination!
Some real excitement today: the most boring paper in the world (except
maybe on Saturdays), The FT re-launches today.
This is a real quote from the press release;
"The re-launched paper
has had a change of typeface and showcases new configuration of pages, including
an extra foreign news page opposite a features page with a more modern design."
AN EXTRA FOREIGN NEWS PAGE!!! Hurrah!! And a features page with a more
modern design!!! I must rush out and get a copy now... or maybe I just won't!
The BBC intends to bid more than £20m to retain Neighbours (that's even
more than J. Ross' salary). Is this really the best use of BBC money?
After all it's only an
off peak soap and it's a bit crap. Let Ch5 have it and use the money instead to
provide some better peak shows. The BBC should stop being obsessed with ratings
and come up with some shows that aren't just for morons.
And as for all the premium rate line competition rip-off why not get rid
of them altogether from TV? They add nothing to programmes and are just
lotteries designed to raise revenue for the TV companies.
Steve writes: Now there is a
topic for a future article. Sometimes I see you buy shares and take a few on a
s/bet too. So do you change your approach from buying share to s/bets and if so
how?
Hi Steve! Well, I tend to use spreadbetting as a shorter-term medium
although sometimes when holding a really good one I may hold for longer-term. I
also use it more for buying bigger stocks say FTSE 250 and for shorting FTSE100
stocks in a bear market.
Would also be used if I really liked one and my ISA cash was all tied up,
so I would use it to gain more exposure to a share I especially liked.
Markets
As you may have realised one of may
biggest winning strategies is to buy more of a share I bought at a lower price
but I still like the look of even at a higher one!
So I bought yet more Alterian (ALN) on Friday afternoon picking up another
2,500 shares at 177p. Target 220 stop 140. I'm already up nearly £4,000 on the
two positions bought at 132 and 135. I've bought more because they still look
cheap and not only that the buying volume looks really good.
Market-makers keep trying treeshakes but there just aren't many sellers
around. I can see this one having a bit of bovver getting through 200p but after
that 220p looks a likely target with even 240p possible. So it's a pretty
confident top up - the price is rising as I write.
Elsewhere things still going well with some superb risers. Carclo on the
way back up after last week's shake. Dmatek too is going well again.
Charter tries hard to break above that sticky 970p. Recent buy BH Macro
continues to power ahead and up well again today - I think I bought this hedge
fund at a very excellent price! Another recent buy The Vitec Group is a bit shy
about going through 650p but when it does it should really whack up to 700p.
Keller had a stab at 1000 plus on Friday and couldn't quite
manage it. Give it time... Telecom Plus looks strong today and might rise in the
run up to results in June. Hill and Smith, being Hill and Smith continues
resolutely up and McBride after consolidating looks set for another run.
Mark writes: I'm a regular reader of your site and have a dilemma you or your readers may be able to help with. Been in a new job for two months now and in the next month I have to decide whether or not to join the company pension scheme - the company will match my contribution up to 5% of salary but it is a money purchase scheme. I am loathe to give control of my money and future financial well-being to some faceless people who are only interested in the fees and bonuses they can gather using my money.
Tricky one Mark - interested to hear anyone's views and of course you
should take advice on this - I'm not an IFA so can't advise you. But I have one
idea - perhaps you could persuade your company to allow you to take out a SIPP
which you could run yourself - they could then still put in the 5% for you but
put it direct into your SIPP instead of the money purchase plan. I have heard of
these things happening.
Of course you would have to be comfortable running your own pension but
anyone with a reasonable knowledge of shares should be able to do better than a
money purchase scheme...
Markets
I was out for the morning yesterday
and came back to see a lot of stocks marked down. Seemed like the market makers
had dropped everything a bit. In the end though no damage done and they've gone
back up today.
I was amazed to see Vanco (VAN) down to nearly 400p - it was as if they'd
released a profits warning instead of a good report. It appears a gang of
shorters have been in this one for a while and they've been losing heavily so
they're doing everything they can to spread doubts about the share. I think
they're still in deep trouble.
I don't share this view and was very pleased to be able to buy in the low
400s again! This company is still going places and I have little doubt that when
I eventually take profits it'll be up in the 600-700 area.
So I got in as soon as I got home, just missed getting in at 404 by a
whisker but I ended up getting another 1,000 shares at 408.55p. That adds to the
position at 397.
Very happy with that price
especially as bargain hunters could see exactly the same picture and snapped up
the shares while they were a bargain. There is massive support at 400p and at
the price I bought I would be shocked if there was any downside.
Also at some point the shorters are going to have to give up and close and
that will push the price up as fast as it came down. The Times thinks it could
even become a bid target.
I took advantage of share prices going down to get out of
the short in Davis at 614. It's all very well thinking the last statement was
poor but the market doesn't agree with me and there is no point fighting an
uptrend so I closed with a loss of £90.
Elsewhere very happy with the performance of recent buy The Vitec Group
which held very well during Thursday's melee. Looks a superb medium term hold
now.
Keller looks interesting as it tries to push past 1000 again. It could be
a tricky barrier to break but if it does 1100 and even 1200 could be around the
corner given good market conditions.
Recent buy Foseco continues to impress and the next move should be a lift
over and through 210p. Alterian lifts again helped by an Investors Chronicle buy
tip today. As I said when I bought at 135, it should get up to around the 200p
level.
Charter is a good market and 970 appears the current sticky point. Any
lift above 1000 could see very good gains indeed.
Sondex is starting to look lively again.
The
oil services sector has been a brilliant winner for me these last couple of
years. Take a bow Hunting, Petrofac and Sondex which between them has seen me
bank more than £30,000 profits. There is more still on the table.
Apologies in advance -
there will be no update tomorrow (Thursday) but I'll be back again on Friday.
This is because I have to see a lawyer in the morning in the City and it's quite
a journey - it's to do with a legal case which I'll keep to myself (nothing to
do with shares or the website!) Stuart writes: A nice bull
market it seems for the minute, let's hope it continues for awhile to come!
Looks like all the doom mongers are wrong as usual, for the time being anyway.
An interesting comment you made about Jessops. I was out shopping about
a few weeks ago and got talking to one of the managers in a store near to me. I
asked about all the trouble they seemed to be in just lately, I think their last
statement went along the lines that they were strapped for cash for buying stock
for Christmas this year. According to him the
shops have been selling products at the right prices but the buying department
have been buying stock at the wrong prices, ie too high.
Apparently because of
this pretty much all the managers at the buying department have gotten the push.
Anyway, just a quick piece of gossip from the high street anyway!
Markets
I managed to pick some more Vitec
Group this morning! (VTC). I got another 1,000 shares in two lots at 640.8 -
same target and stops as yesterday's buy.
Waterman has been quiet but held over 200p. It has a habit of lying still
then suddenly waking up and putting on 15p just like that. That's why it is
worth being patient with.
Morgan Sindall is rising after an excellent trading statement. I can't
imagine why Harvey Nash isn't going up, it looks so cheap and was a buy tip in
today's Chronicle.
Wednesday 18th April
I see The Sun today have a headline "Paris Hilton flashes boobs at
friends.." Do you think any of them noticed?
Yes, all good at the moment but best not to get too smug before things
come crashing down like the England cricket team!
With just a tiny amount on offer at 640 and the next step up at 653 thanks
to level 2 I got a tiny window to get in and top up before it went up. My buying
reasons were all detailed yesterday - you can press "diary" at the top top read
yesterday's comments.
I top sliced a little Renold today at 132p - for the site we will call it
closing the 112.76 position for a profit of £770.
I still hold nearly £10,000 of profit from the other website positions
which remain intact. Just raising a bit of cash for other things. So still think
the company is going places and it probably just needs a spot of news to move
again from here..
Elsewhere Vanco reported excellent profits today - the shares have fallen
back mainly because they rose so much in anticipation of results yesterday. I'm
looking to top up on this weakness and tuck some more away in the bottom drawer.
Some good risers again today. Sondex is lifting nicely which is great as
it's been quiet for a while. Hill and Smith continues to rise yet again as it
always does, fair markets or foul!
Keller is beginning to shine again, bit of a wait but will be worth it. BH
Macro is taking off very well and profits are already looking good. Development
Securities after looking a bit ropey yesterday is now motoring. My Davis short
looks a bit vulnerable and I'm on the verge of closing.
Charter is lifting higher which looks good in the weak market today as
does Dmatek. Most others are unchanged or just down slightly which I can live
with today!
We're expecting
Christopher to have chicken pox any time now..There's been an outbreak at
nursery and his best friend Rory's got it and they were together a lot on
Sunday.
Still, I guess it's better to get it young and get over it.. No sign of it
just yet but we're expecting a week of him being in bed and needing extra
care...
WARNING!... To the bloke who thinks me talking about my cat sucks and I
should only talk about shares, the next couple of paras is about the cat. Please
scroll down NOW!!!
So, the old and very large cat has decided my desk is a great place when
the weather's nice but because she is sprawled across it most of the time, half
the space on my desk has gone. Which just about leaves room for tea and toast
and a calculator.
Can't really do much about it. We've not had a row in 20 years and I'd
hate to start now. When she's not on the desk she's out on the balcony where she
attracts loads of admirers walking along the river.
In fact often there's a queue out there waiting to stroke her. Especially
when Fulham FC games have finished - being black and white of course she is
always in the team colours.
They'd better win on Saturday - very close to the relegation zone now.
Mind you a demotion will see a lot less huge TV trucks around here..
So our brilliant
chancellor managed to flog off our gold reserves at the bottom of the market.
Nice one! Just as well he's not a share buyer or he'd be getting a lot of margin
calls!
My goodness at last a politician has said "sorry". Wow. That's a step
forward. So well done Des Browne. That's all we need to hear.
You made a cock up. We all do, every single one of us. It was a biggie but
you know it was and said it. This is what we want from those in charge. Honesty
and no spin.
That's it - keep it coming - bit too late for Blair to be honest though. I
can't believe they are going to revive The Magic Roundabout! It should be left
as a historic kids show.
And after all it was more for adults really and was steeped in 60s drugs
culture. After all Dylan and Dougal were obviously stoned most of the time. I
dread to think of a new series.
Dougal listening to his Ipod? Florence on the internet and Dougal on his mobile?
Bad idea!
Markets
Inflation over targets mean that interest
rates here are certain to go up next month and I think there's even a chance of
a half per cent if they want to get on top of it.
I think interest rates could go to 7% next year which will bring the buy
to let market down and we will see house prices falling at last. Which won't be
a bad thing.
Anyway it looks as though with the market sitting at highs it really is
time for a bit of profit taking for now. So I have taken some profits and some
part profits today and also made a buy!
The new buy is The Vitec Group (VTC). I bought 1,000 shares just now at
632p. Target 750 stop 575. I've been waiting to buy these for a while hoping for
a dip but this just hasn't happened and it is strong in a down market today so I
had to bite the bullet though did get in at 632 rather than 638 where it was
this morning. So I guess I caught a bit of a dip.
This one is quite simply a lovely cheap share with an extremely strong
uptrend (see the chart!) and plenty more in the locker - at least another 100p I
believe here. It supplies services to broadcast and media companies.
FY profits soared from 17 to 22 million and there is every chance they
will do 30m next time which makes these shares well below true value. Outlook is
great, dividend is near 3% - it goes ex dividend on May 2nd.
I love companies like this were every headline figure is nicely higher -
and it's growing by acquisition and organically too.
I feel I could tuck these away for a couple of years when they could well
be 1200p plus. So I am buying initially for a medium term view of 3-6 months.
Now onto some profit taking. First TT Electronics sold at 236 for profits
of £300. It just can't break 240 despite several attempts so selling for that
reason.
I took a little Vislink off the table not because I don't think there's
more there, it's just stalled for the moment and I have rather a lot. So I sold
a quarter of my holding at 92.1p.
For web purposes trades closed are the last
4 positions: 87.35 (profit £190) 96.25 (loss £83), 85.75 (profit £254) 66
(Profit £2,610)
Total profit: £2,971. I retain the 2 other positions in the 50s where
profits of nearly £10k still remain and I expect to keep these for quite a while
as I think a bid for this company looks likely at some point.
Finally I took part profits in Hunting selling half my large spreadbets
for 781 - for site purposes we will call it the first 386 spreadbet position
yielding profits of a rather tasty £7,900. So that's a massive profit banked
today for the site of...
*******************************************£11,171
*********************************************
That brings total profits for the site now of a huge
£321,404. My aim for this year is
to get the site profits up and over the £350,000 mark.
Some results from one or two of mine. Harvey Nash reported a stunning set
of results which sees the shares up 3p but it really should be more and they are
worth at least 90p in my book. I'm up more than 20% on them and it's tempting to
take profits but patience often pays off with these ones.
Mouchel Parkman reported a very strong looking order book. It's not
surprisingly down on results day but I'll stick with it for the long-term as I
always have.
Considering it's a down market today most shares are holding up really
well. Some nice buying coming into Alterian even after the recent rises. Bodes
well. Carclo going up too.
Good old Hill and Smith rises as usual. McBride holds firm and BH Macro
and North Midland. But the biggest star of the day for me is Vanco which has
pushed well above 500 today and I'm not up more than 120 points despite
terrified people e-mailing me that "Evil Knievel was short so I'd better get out
quick".
Having met the management of Vanco I knew which side I wanted to be on and
just because some guru reckons a price is going to tank doesn't necessarily mean
it is actually going to happen!
What a lovely weekend!
Brilliant weather and we all had a lot of fun. Saturday we were out with
Christopher for a lot of the day in parks, then we got the babysitter and went
for a meal and then we cycled about watching the world go by.
Arrived home with some Haagan Daaz Banofi ice cream which we polished off
while watching some of The Queen DVD which was a bit disappointing given it won
some awards.
Sunday I took Christopher to a kids play centre for the morning and in the
afternoon his best friend Rory and his mum came round for a playdate which was
fun. While at the playcentre I watched a branch of Jessops for a while from the
window.
At peak time on a Sunday there wasn't one customer I could see over the 3
hours I was at the centre (went and checked from time to time).
Meanwhile the manager spent most of his time standing outside the entrance
smoking fags. All I can say is if I owned shares in Jessops I'd be getting rid
of them right now!!
At one point I was walking around the park with Christopher and there was
a couple, let's put it this way, getting rather intimate. Christopher soon put a
stop to that and he rushed up to them and sat down to watch! The couple parted
quite quickly!
Markets
I'm still very keen on one share in
particular and have almost bought 3 times today - however I am a stickler on
trying to get the best price using level 2 and think I might just get one or two
points lower!!
I took profits in Carter and Carter after a good look at results. I sold
at 1220.10p (600 shares) for a profit of £351 and the spreadbet at 1223 for a
profit of £660.
My reasons are although the results were good and the company is going
places for right now it all looks priced in at around 1200. Also debt levels are
now quite high after recent acquisitions. One I'd come back to because it's
trying to turn itself into a big business but I'll cash in for now. Total
profits then banked on Carter is £1,011.
Charter continues to break out very nicely indeed and I wonder whether a
break through 1000 is possible soon. If it can that would be extrenely bullish.
Keller announced a decent acquisition today for £8.5m - looks a good fit
and Keller looks determined to grow - it'll probably take a kick to get over
1000p but once over that hurdle it should motor.
Recent buy Foseco is really doing the business now and rises daily, with
my initial 220 target coming into play soon at the rate it's going!
Bit of profit-taking stroke tree-shake in Carclo today - nearly bought
some more but I have quite a few already! Brilliant buy Alterian continues to
climb most days as it heads for the 200p mark. McBride confirmed the recent
acquisition has gone through and that one is trying to head over 250p.
Super Hunting rises still further, what a great profit-maker that's been.
Mouchel Parkman goes up ahead of what should be good results tomorrow.
Renold looks like it's about to start a new run higher - Chime has been a
dream buy, nearly 30% higher than my initial purchase and still looks cheap.
North Midland Construction is on the up and so too is BH Macro going well.
Morgan Sindal starts another run and there's a recent 20p dividend bagged there
too. So, I continue to be a very happy bunny as the portfolio soars away...
Hurrah! A warm weekend
coming up! We intend to make full use of it and leave home early on the bikes
with Christopher and see where we end up, should be fun!
So my advice is, forget about shares and money and all that: get out there
and enjoy every spring/summer day there is - after all there aren't that many of
them!
Yet more evidence coming
in of "fines" masquerading as yet more tax. Yes, councils are cleaning up now..
issuing tickets for people who put their rubbish out a few minutes too early.
Has anyone thought we have busy lives and we can't always manage to put
things out at the right time try as we might? We do have other things to worry
about.
Why don't councils simply take a human approach and just write to us from
time to time with a friendly please? It would work much better.
So far they've made nearly £200,000 from this. One bloke got a £50 fine
for putting out rubbish at 5.30pm instead of 6pm. Sadly this is probably just
the start of more tickets for everything/paying for things that used to be free
- where is it all going to end?
Meanwhile Gordon Brown in another feeble attempt to be "cool" went to an
anti-racism event. He was told the star there to look out for and get pictured
shaking hands with was Jermaine Jackson.
Brown found Jackson said "Good to see you I really admire your work..."
etc etc for quite a while until "Jermaine" had to let him down gently by
informing Gordon that, well she was actually Jermaine's, er .. wife and not the
man himself... Oooops! Anyway sure Gordon is enjoying listening to the lastest
Artic Monkeys album (!)
Sam writes: Do you trade penny shares? Can you tell me how to sell AIM
(Penny) shares quick, particularly shares that rise like 80% in a day and likely
to fall back next day. or should I stay out of these type of shares.
Hi Sam - Afraid I feel penny shares should be avoided - you can have one
or two big wins but you are also likely to experience big losses too. It's
really gambling not investing!
As you have maybe found out, you can't buy and sell that many either
without being charged sometimes a much worse price than on the screen. Best way
to sell them quick is to have accounts with 2-3 brokers and sell them all at the
same time....
Markets
It really has been a great year so far and
the money pot just keeps rising! Just added my usual £7k into my ISA which is
all the money I ever put in! Well, hope you all
enjoyed your Easter break. I was working! Alan writes regarding my
comments on talking CCTV cameras... "Thank goodness there is
somebody else who thinks the way I do about this latest intrusion into our
lives. Two lots are being installed here in Norwich, in public parks, ostensibly
to curb anti-social behaviour. Of course it will be the generally law-abiding
who will take notice of any orders barked out by Mr Snooper. I cannot see the ASBO
class taking any notice for very long. It is doubtful whether the coppers will
take any notice either, if Johnny Lowlife refuses to pick up his fag packet.
Too busy chasing money
on our highways with their other cameras. Trouble is too many people seem to
think it a good idea, such is the absurdly compliant nature of so many people
these days. I take my hat off to you, George Orwell. You were so bloody right.
Love your website.
Markets
Weird isn't it after a few days off! What's a
share and which one should I be buying?
Big apologies for the
site not getting updated till the evening the last few days, got those server problems back but normal service should be resumed next week. Today's update is the last for a week, normal updates resume next Wednesday after Easter. Francis writes: Do you ever try to find shares that you think that you will just hold forever? I am trying to do this at the moment. I have one or two that I know that you have been in in the past
Markets
A fantastic looking acquisition by Waterman Group (WTM). Bought some of these a few weeks ago and already picked up a dividend.
Arrrggghhhh! Thanks I
feel better now. Unbelievably looks like the bronchitis is making a comeback. I
can hardly talk and coughing is painful.
Markets
Spending a lot of time in bed feeling sorry
for myself so no trades today (except one high risk one for my SIPP which those
of you who subscribe to the e-mail will get news of today). A nice relaxing weekend.
And a nice relaxing time coming up with Easter this weekend. Although it's
annoying that I've picked up yet another cough. Really hoping it's not
bronchitis again. Cough cough, splutter, you know what it's like. At last a couple of
shows worth watching..! Celebrity Wife Swap and Louis Theroux. Swapping Paul
Daniel's wife with Vanessa Feltz worked really well. Vanessa wants to go
clubbing every night (in a desperate attempt to hold onto her young music biz
boyfriend). Nice April fool from the
Mail on Sunday - trouble is I wouldn't be surprised if it came true. The idea
was a Carbon Tax on Barbeques! I can see in 2010 Gordon Brown announcing a
tenner charge for a barbeque licence under new "green" laws! I think it's obvious
Labour will lose the next election with Brown in charge because we're all fed up
with spin and that 2p cut in income tax instead of making the electorate happy
has got us all angry because it is one great con. By the way, remember he
also cut the tax credit on ISA's yet he claims he wants to encourage us to save.
His legacy will hit home hard in the years to come. Jeff writes: Just read Jon's
e-mail on director deals. I just made the same mistake with Erinaceous after a
huge amount of director buying I bought 2500 and they just kept going down even
with all the brokers saying they were a buy . Got out far too late. Its results were worse
that expected but its huge dividend was maintained and a new chairman appointed.
Then the trades - huge sell after huge sell. The price bounced and I was out! Unfortunately the bounce
was the start of a very big rise. The sales must have been purchases wrongly
recorded as the price was moving so quickly. Ouch - expensive mistake but one
for experience. Never ever think just
because a trade analyser tells you something was a sell to actually believe it!
If you see a "T" by a trade that means it was definitely delayed, often by some
time..
Markets
Friday afternoon I bought into BH Macro (BHMG)
- buying 500 shares at 1014.4p. Target 1085 Stop 985. I had a row with one of my
brokers about it. They wouldn't let me buy it in my ISA even though it's a
massive company that'll soon be in the FTSE 250.
The Teletubbies are ten years
old today! While at Selfridges I bought the tenth anniversary DVD and this
morning me and Christopher watched the top 10 teletubby moments. Now the number one
teletubby moment is: Noo-Noo tidies the tubby custard! Ps, if you want to know
who stole the teletubby custard, it was Po... Les writes: At long last I am beginning to be no longer squeamish about selling
my favoured shares and have built up several good portfolios with decent capital
growth. Spreadbetting with
Cantor has been nail biting but after an interesting learning curve have built
up a good profit particularly in the last month when the market was particularly
volatile. As a CEO and director
you must have some idea of how your company is performing or is the amounts of
money spent so small that it was just to reassure the market?? My initial
thoughts were Wow if they really had no idea of what was going on then no wonder
the company's in trouble !
Markets
A gloomy day today to say the least but
lucky for me most of my holds are up! However one I had to take a loss on RPC
of £474 - because of the negatives in today's statement - as you know my policy
is to take a loss rightaway on anything that turns negative do that's just what
I did, getting out at 255.
Back again! Did you miss me?
Ahhhh! A meeting with an accountant is about as boring as it sounds. But anyway
the last set of accounts are signed off and that's that. I'm free of catering
forever! No more customers angry because there's fish in their fish pie! As I mentioned when Ken
Livingstone the waste of space that's Mayor of London hired Bob Kiley at a
ridiculous fee of £1m a year, and a £2.5m house how outrageous it was. Next he's going to say
he's listening to the latest dance bands. His little trick of the 2p cut in
income tax has deservedly been seen through by the public and sent his ratings
down. Jon writes: Quick question if you don't mind reference Chime
Communications. I have been following them after your recent purchases and
noticed yesterday some really big volume coming through at 0.50p and slightly
above. The bid was at 0.49p and the offer at 0.50p for most of the day. I tried to pick up
10,000 shares (which is the NMS) but they were asking for a premium of 1/2p. I
thought in most cases you would always be able to get the offer price for the
NMS, or is this not the case?? Anyhow picked up 10K today at 50.5p. That big
volume going through has got my attention. Any idea's what you think it could
be.
Markets
Three new buys to report over the last
couple of days! The markets continue to be buffeted about by what's happening in
the USA and the slightest little stat seems to bring about wild swings. Still
for the moment I continue to be a buyer of good shares.
In a note to clients, the broker said it
estimates there are opportunities for Carter & Carter to win contracts totalling
revenue of £175m, of which it only includes £35m in its 2009 forecasts. UBS said
it expects further news on these contracts at the interims in April and
thereafter.
This is a smallish (well market cap nearly
£50m so not THAT small) company that provides civil engineering, building,
mechanical and electrical services to public and private organisations.
Only downside is there are only 2 market
makers and one of those appears to be asleep. So it could get volatile. Spread
is only just acceptable too. As I said last week, no
update tomorrow (Wednesday) - so next update will be on Thursday. I'm off to the
accountant to sign off the last of the accounts for the cafe I sold last year.
Markets
Back into Walker Crips Weddle (WCW) today.
Bought 1,250 shares at 392. Target 460 stop 355. You may remember played with
this one a few times - made a good sum buying at near 300 and selling at near
400 a while back. Then made a small profit last time.
One of its arms has been appointed to
manage a 133ml fund for HSBC. So although its markets are competitive it is
doing well.
However even without a bid at worst it
looks fairly priced and at best there is 20% upside if I'm patient. So this time
I expect to hold for a few months unless the stop gets hit.
Good weekend? Love this time
of the year when the clocks go forwards, light in the evening, wonderful, summer's coming, this feels like it's been a long winter!
Markets
A quiet day - markets are really waiting for various bits of data coming from the USA this week and actually sometimes a quiet day can be rather nice and relaxing! So no trades to report today - as I always say no point buying or selling out of boredom and I'm happy with the portfolio.
A bit of advice: always make
sure you get an expensive kitchen for your wife. The new £25k kitchen, actually
with all the sudden "extras" that appeared out of the blue, nearer 30k, is now
installed. On Wednesday 21st March
Gordon Brown gave his 11th and almost certainly final budget speech. Here Rory
Bremner delivers the speech the Chancellor would have made if he had been
completely honest about his plans...
Markets
A pretty settled day - Fridays tend to be for
some reason. TFIF! One buy to report from last week's shortlist, and
that's 750 shares in Development Securities (DSC) at 628.5p. Target 695 stop
580. Made yesterday.
Whereas if they were say sitting at 110,
even if the statement was great, people would take profits. With operating
profits to be at least 13.6m and no negatives at all I'm not bovvered (as long
as the statements were accurate).
Sitting looking at snow
falling onto The Thames. Lovely sight. (Which Gordon will tax me on after the
inspector's been).
So, Gordon's allowing us to put an extra £200 into Isas! Big deal! After
inflation they should have been increased every year and should be around £10k
now.
Markets
A jolly good upday but I don't like it much
that the Dow is so volatile - up 160 one day, down the next. Much prefer a
steady market.
An interesting night out
last night! I went to a Proactive Investors evening event where three CEO's of
risky mining/exploration companies pitched their companies to a roomful of rich
people.
Markets
Interesting to see the markets going well
today despite the doom and gloomsters..Couple of buys to report.... First a
return to MS International (MSI) and I bought 3,500 shares at 159p, target 185,
stop 130. And I bought a few for the Mrs' ISA too.
A really good go through there and 280
should be opened up. I bought on a spreadbet this time, £30 a point at 252.
Target 280, stop 235.
So tomorrow is Budget
Day. Or could I suggest How to grab as much as possible off hard working people
by pretending it's to do with the environment and anyway it'll all be in the
small print you don't notice and we'll throw away most of your money on
pen-pushers and officialdom and then charge you more for things you already
thought you were paying for from your taxes like bin collections and soon we'll
be charging you for breathing, hey that's a good idea, why not make everyone
wear a camera so we can see what you're doing all the time and charge you?
Markets
Looks like every time we get near 6200 the
markets are going to pause and nervousness sets in. Investors have lost the
appetite for risk right now and who can blame them?
But I like the buying volume that came in
since some excellent results a few days ago. And I topped up with what I'm sure
will be a final lot an extra £10 a point at 444 - target 495, stop 395.
I'm afraid this is the
last update until Monday. However I have tried to make it a nice bumper
read today so maybe eke it out over the next two days... Oh boy! Here we go.. new
plans are to double council tax on anyone with a £1m home. Seems fair right? Not
if you live in London and you're a pensioner who bought your house in the 40s
and 50s. Often they are on the
breadline and struggle to pay council tax as it is. This will destroy many
pensioners who may indeed have to end up selling their homes or part of just to
pay the new council taxes. And yet again it's an
unfair tax on those who have worked extremely hard to get where they are and
improve their lot to be penalised time and again for doing well. I was furious and could
not understand how a rollover on an index could be lower than the closing
amount. Apparently, and I am still trying to fully understand the concept, the
roller over from Tuesday to Wednesday is adjusted to take account of ex
dividends. I feel robbed, and
wished I had used a monthly futures as I usually do. It seems that with expert
experience one could use this Tuesday/ Wednesday rollover to buy the daily FTSE
100 (when there is an expected heavy ex dividend, and gain a quick amount of
money) Anyhow, you may want to share my experience with your readers. Many
thanks for your interesting website. Ralph I think it makes sense.
But I agree it is a bit odd being so many points down at the start of the day. I
sympathise but don't think there is anything you can do but put it down to
experience and do monthly's !
Markets
A last look at the markets till I return on
Monday...I think a pretty much expected downswing today after recent gains.
Current nervousness is centered around US Housing. Amazing how something that
was worried about 2 weeks ago disappears to be replaced by something else to
worry about...
Also often if you try and sell after an
opening all the prices are already marked down. Things like Hill and Smith
aren't really much affected which is one of the reasons I like this share.
Yes - the first mention
of Christmas this year! The earliest sighting ever! Courtesy of Crown Plaza
Hotels who sent me this e-mail with the subject line of "Christmas". "Christmas
is on its way" (!!!) Ensure the best rates for Christmas 2007. Call our
Christmas Coordinator now!" Apparently there are
more than 5 million people below retirement age classified as "economically
inactive". We all know what this means and I don't care about being politically
incorrect here. This means at least 2
million are lazy bastards who can't be bothered to do a day's work and prefer to
sponge off the state. (There - I said it, it's what we all think.) Give them a bucket and
mop and get them out there window cleaning. I'd do it personally if I didn't
have a job - I would be far too proud to take the state's money.
Markets
Nothing much sparking my attention as a buy
today on what's a pretty dull day so far. Markets are always finding something
to worry about and banks are down today dragging other things down.
However at this stage in the game it's
pretty healthy to have another minor sell off - seems really only the FTSE
companies really affected so far.
As you can see my way of topping up on
great shares like this on weakness across the last 12 months is really paying
off with profits of nearly £4,000. I think after this statement Sondex will
climb to about 500p and there's bid prospects too. Excellent. Hurrah! Is summer on the
way? Great day yesterday and it was brilliant to be out and about with everyone
enjoying themselves in the sun. There's nothing to beat the UK in good weather! Blaring away was some
terrible music. Sounded like a CD entitled - "The worst music of the 80s -
Ever!" All those lousy songs on one CD.. Phil Collins, Eurithmics, Duran Duran
and capped off by that horrid one .. "I should have know bett...er... than fall
in love with someone as beautiful as youuuuuuuu..." Arrghhh! Here's a surprise - once
ID cards come in - guess what - the Government is going to sell all your details
to raise money.
Markets
Two new buys. First is another insurance one to
add to the Amlin buy (it's the hot sector du jour). It's Caitlin (CGL). I bought
1,000 shares at 522p. I timed the entry badly which is unusual for me these
days.
What I mean is I should have got them at
516 but a big buyer caught me off guard and I missed that price and had to buy
at the higher price with the shares already well up.
Ticks all my boxes and again unless there
is a meltdown a fab medium term hold for more. Wish I'd bought these 2 years ago
and had just held them!
A bit of a milestone for
the site today - total banked profits have now hit over £300,000 for the first
time! (£302,465). Yeah!!!! An amazing and quite
moving experience last night in Wandsworth Prison. We went there to watch a
musical "Les Miserables" performed by both a professional cast and some
prisoners.
Markets
One buy and some profit taking! The market
will probably shift one way or another after some figures due in the USA at
1.30pm - go figure as they say! I bought 1,500 shares in Amlin (AML) the insurer
today at 318.89p. Target 380 Stop 271.
Given new projects and acquisitions that
may be coming I am going to hang onto mine on a six month view for further
capital gain and the dividend. They should also hold up very well if there is
another market slide.
Am going to be in jail tonight! Seriously! Tonight I shall be banged
up in Wandsworth Prison. Trouble is I have a shoplifting habit. It's
terrible. Of course I can afford to buy aeros and kit kats but I can't help
pocketing them instead of paying. Tonight I shall be
watching a charity opera in the prison, part sung by a real opera stars and part
sung by the prisoners. Christopher and
Elizabeth have gone to Harrods to meet some friends. together with my credit
card. Let's hope the card doesn't get too much of a mauling. Christopher is
likely to to destroy Harrod's toy department and let's hope he doesn't manage to
shoplift too much stuff!
Markets
Two new buys to report. This time from the list I bought Waterman Group (WTM).
I bought 2,300 shares at 184.9p yesterday
afternoon and followed up with another 2,000 shares at the same price due to
being a greedy guts. That's a total of 4,300 shares at 184.9p. Target 230 stop
165.
Market makers will often drop a share on
results day just to get some shares before they raise it again so I may need to
hold my nerve. Waterman is a buildings consultancy with many projects on the go
and looks to be growing both organically and by acquisition. Whether or not my
gamble of buying the day before results pays off or not we shall see over the
next couple of days.
With the markets so
volatile it's very hard for a lot of people investing from home to know what to
do - and that includes me! In terms of China, India
and Russia, where the fall in stock market values were closer to double digits,
it is unrealistic to compare the two cultures. These emerging markets
have made huge gains in the last 3 years - way above anything delivered by the
more mature bourses. Far too much erroneous
importance has been attached by the street to the correlation between these
different economies. We all seem to forget
that markets never go in a straight line for very long. It's perfectly natural
and healthy for investors to take some risk off the table and bank the profits.
Given a level playing
field, when investors have finished dumping their stock which is superfluous to
requirement, there seems to be no reason why equities should not power forward
again. They have come a very
long way since March 2003 - the FTSE is up by 85 per cent. The real cumuli
nimbus clouds hanging over the world's economy is the awful threat of Iran's
policy of nuclear proliferation, goaded on a daily basis by its terrifying
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. It is unbelievable that
the financial community is so totally laid back and ambivalent to this fearful
nation! A correction of up to 10-12% overall seems perfectly healthy and
sensible according to those who have experienced market gyrations over the last
two decades. Hedge fund activity and credit issues for bond holders together
with the Yen carry trade are also worrying issues." Although I am not a
believer in buying and selling shares just via a chart I certainly feel a chart
should be looked at before buying at the very least. Norman writes: I lost 3% of
my pension portfolio the first week of January and I have been behind ever since
after today's carnage I am as type about -10% on the year so far. Switching of for 3
months or so like I did last year is not an option as I believe there is to much
going on in other world markets I came back from the dead last year but this is
a different ball game. Coming back from -10% in
the first quarter will not be easy and I don't want to give myself to big a
mountain to climb on the other hand I don't want to sell up just before the
bounce, it can be a very hard call. Today I have one stock
blue 31 stocks red but the volumes of shares traded are not massive so my
initial thoughts are its an over reaction which as we know our friends the mm's
take full advantage of I will watch what goes on across the pond today before
taking any action.
Markets
Three bargain buys and no sells today -
makes a change from recently! A bit of a bounceback today though can we trust
it? Still going to be volatile for a while I expect.
This is a recovery play - a chemicals
company that did see bad times and losses but their recent statement was really
excellent and shows a company that could surprise to the upside. The current markets are so volatile that its difficult to decide what to do and spreadbetting can be pretty dangerous right now and as such caution must be the watchword.
Markets
Phew, what a couple of weeks. Not having
updated since Wednesday because there is plenty to catch up on.
There's an old saying you should be buying when everyone else is panicking and I
am very tempted.
However will hold off for a bit being a
coward - not really traded since Thursday when I got rid of a lot more
spreadbets- couldn't trade Friday and wary of selling the smallcaps today.
And today, well I am more than happy with things. I have 6 shares sitting
in my very short shortlist and 2 in particular I like the look of. However level
2 info has stopped me from buying either so far today though I could at any
moment!
Carclo continues to shoot up and my 2 positions at 90 and the other at 115
look good! I have about 30 grands worth now. There's bound to be the odd
tree-shake/profit take from time to time but the re-rating looks set to
continue.
Alterian is also a hot one and I expect another 20p here at least. Mouchel
Parkman reports next week and look forwards to the report. It will have to be
good to support the rises but judging by the volumes it's going to be very good!
Would love to see it kick over 500p!
Hunting carries on its remarkable run and shows no sign of stopping - have
huge profits there now. Good recent showings too by Carter and Carter.
Foseco is now going great guns and is firmly over 200p - it looks a cert for 220p at least!
A mention for a few unsung heroes now! That's longer-term holds in the
portfolio that go up slowly over the week which I just don't mention very often.
Hill and Smith is one - a beautiful long-termer that just gradually goes up and
a nice little rise happening today.
Creston is another, just keeps on going quietly.. Marchpole has been a
convincing winner and so too Telecom Plus. And Scott Wilson So three cheers for
the unsungs! (In fact Marchpole has just gone up another 3%!)
So a fabulous week again to make it a really excellent first quarter and a
bit for me... I hope all of you out there are enjoying similar gains.
Thursday 12th April
It's tough being self-motivated you know. No boss to urge me on. But with
Christopher and Elizabeth away for a couple of days I got a lot done.
Thanks Alan and agreed - those talking cameras are ridiculous!
Yesterday I bought more Carclo (CAR) picking up another 5,000 shares at
115.9p. Target 160 stop 95. That's to add to the two lots of shares I bought a
while back at around very nice 90p!
This is not just a recovery story - this company is really going places
it's really transforming itself and a trading update last week shows everything
is on course including a good reduction of debt. Its solar panels could be the
key to excellent profit growth and its medical products are doing well.
Looks to me as if a rerating is going on which should initially take the
shares up to the 150p area - a good long term tuckaway and I am putting my
shares in the bottom drawer for a while!
The shares are rising above 120p now as I write and there seems plenty of
buying interest. Yet another lovely top up to add to the really good-looking
portfolio.
I also bought yet more Mouchel Parkman (MCHL) this morning via a spreadbet
at £15 at 460p. Target 500 stop 415. I already have loads of this - website
current positions at 319,420, 280 and 364 show huge profits.
But there is more to come including what I feel is an inevitable bid. And
given the volume that's been coming in recently I wonder if that's not far off?
Mouchel really is an unsung hero of the portfolio. Whatever the state of
the market it's always doing well. And I'd be surprised if it didn't hit 500
this year.
I took profits of £130 in the Provident Financial short closing at 679 on
the 4th. Basically getting out while the going is good as to be honest the share
looks pretty strong.
The portfolio has continued to do well while the site has been closed!
Alterian has had a very good run - my 132p buy price looks good with the shares
trying to push 170. Should be another 20p there.
Chime has also been going up most daysand is surging again today and I'm
up nearly 30% on the first buy. Morgan Sindall has been going very
well indeed - now nearly 130 points up AND a 20p dividend to be paid out as
well!
McBride continues to run well and is about to crack the 250! Great buy!
Mouchel Parkman - one of my unsung heroes - goes very nicely and I can see it
heading towards 500p before long.
Hunting is breaking out brilliantly today and so is Charter. Good old
Waterman has gone over 200p and looks a beautiful medium term hold as it
expands. Still gloriously cheap.
North Midland Construction looks like it's about to start another run.
Lovely-looking one with bid potential at around 600p.
Galliford Try looks good - glad I managed to pick some up at a bargain
price. Creston has been going very well and has just appointed an experienced
bloke to head up their expansion in the US.
Basically I am thrilled with the current profits stacked up in the
portfolio and while it is tempting to take profits most of these companies look
so good experience tells me to hold on.
Wednesday 4th April
Christopher continues to be great fun and I'm enjoying being a Dad. He brings us both great joy and happiness and not having a job means I can spend a lot of time with the feller which is magical.
They are ones where I think the long term probabilities mean that they will keep making more money in the future than they are now. ie recession and shock proof
Ones that I actually have include Dignity (margins going up predictable income streams ). Dechra pharmaceuticals (pet medicines only listed pet medicine supplier ) stanley gibbons (stamps) admiral ( we all need car insurance).what do you think of this kind of approach?
Hi Francis - I think this kind of approach is excellent and I believe every portfolio should have a basic package of shares held for the long-term and the shares you mention look worthy of this.
Indeed I hold a number of shares in my portfolio that I consider long-term holds, though not sure whether it would be forever - but in my case there are some I would consider holding for 2 years or more and perhaps one I mentioned today - Waterman - is one.
Of course if they have good dividends too you pick up the interest you would have got from the bank as well as a good capital return!
And I bought more today - 2,500 shares at 191.9
- target 250 stop 175.
(sadly they were already up a few pee and my fault for not getting my act together right at the open). I also bought some for my sister's ISA.
These shares are really just an absolutely fantastic tuckaway for a year or two and I can see them climbing steadily this year up towards the 300p area.
I think they are worth around 250p already after this acquisition.
They are buying a company that already produces profits of more than £2m.
I can see Waterman's earnings shooting up and there could be more acquisitions on the way.
I love buying into growing businesses like this
one and very happy to top
up today and I expect to hold for at least a year to
pick up an excellent
capital gain, a dividend and sleep at night! So really
a lovely hold now...
I've sold three-quarters of my holding in Gyrus
- it's time to take
profits now I think although I am keeping hold of a
few long term.
So for website purposes that's profits of £657
on the 399.5 position sold
at 469.25, . Spreadbets were sold at 472, yielding
profits of £280 on the 444
position and a massive £3,200 on the 344 position.
That gives total profits on Gyrus banked today
of £4,137. Lovely! I retain
a few shares (for the site that's the original 302
position.
Looks like my buy of Galliford Try was very well
timed! I managed to buy
some on the strange recent dip and hold now with
confidence...
Charter's had a great couple of days and trying
hard to bust that 940
resistance, if it can I can see it going 1000+.
Hunting just goes up every day
(nice to have a share like that!) Vanco looks
extremely promising as it heads
over 500p - a nice hold. Hope Evil Knievel is not
still short!
Carter and Carter continues to be a sensational
buy, now up more than 100p
in a few days and I think another 200 odd to come.
Morgan Sindall looks like it's down but it went
ex dividend today for a
massive 20p so in fact the shares are pretty much
level. Look forwards to the
very nice cheque!
Foseco is nearly up and over that 200p move -
any strong move over 200
will see 220 in a jiffy which is where it should
be.
North Midland Construction looks, good up again
today and it should be up
and over 500p soon. I may not get the dip I'm looking
for and may have to buy
more anyway!
McBride continues to be a wonderful winner. So I
go into the Easter break
feeling extremely good about the current portfolio and
the continued gains
within.
One new high risk buy for the high risk SIPP
which will be as usual at the
end of the lunchtime e-mail. That goes out to those
who subscribe. More details
on that can be obtained by emailing me with
"Sipp" in the subject line.
I wish you all a fantastic Easter and see you all
again next Wednesday!
Tuesday 4th April
Anyhow I'm not going to moan anymore except I'm going to spend a lot of
time in bed trying to recover and I guess I'll have to take antibiotics which
I'm not keen on.
I'm trying not to get too close to my 2-year-old Christopher today and I
really don't want to give him this horrible condition. Trouble is he wants a lot
of cuddles!
It really is quite a miserable thing to have to put up with so it looks
like my Easter isn't going to be so hot if the coughing keeps going.
Yesterday's buys are looking good - BH Macro continues to climb higher and
I continue to see good upside from here. And Galliford Try is heading back up
from the 170 low, so looks like both were well timed.
Some excellent movers today. Morgan Sindall in particular goes well, I've
held with patience and now up 100 points. If
it can close above 1300 a few times, then 1400 could open up which is where I'd
take profits.
Carter and Carter has been very rewarding too and that one as well is up
nearly 100 points since I bought a few days ago.
Keller starts to motor. Development Securities begins to climb nicely. I
am kind of hoping North Midland Construction goes down a little because I would
like to buy a whole heap more!
RPS continues to climb sharply thanks to the Mail on Sunday's "sell"
advice!! The lovely Hill and Smith looks as strong as ever and Charter
goes up well today, again 940 is the figure for the breakthrough.
Plenty of other nice movers too! So all in all despite feeling ill today I
am happy underneath! The portfolio is really looking excellent.
Monday 2nd April
While Paul Daniels is happier to be on his own in his house in peace and
quiet. "No-one ever goes in or goes out.." commented Vanessa.
While Paul's visit to a nightclub appalled him. "They're just pulling
joints," he muttered. "You can't hear anything anyone says.."
Paul, I hate to tell you this - that's a GOOD thing judging by most of the
clientele!
Both Paul and Vanessa of course are self-obsessed which makes them
interesting to watch and you just know Vanessa's relationship with the guy who
sang "Gotta turn around...." isn't going to last the year. Nothing worse than
being a one hit wonder. Remember the song? It's slightly irritating and one you
immediately switch off if it comes on the radio...
Louise Theroux's visit to America's most hated family was interesting but
you have to feel sorry for 7-year-olds being forced to hold up anti gay
placards. As the little girl admitted she has no idea what the sign means. Real
child abuse.
Brown was pretty dismal talking to the ten year olds. It's the way he
desperately tries to be nice and friendly. I wonder whether he will get
challenged.
And we all know he destroyed the pensions of millions of people and we are
not going to forget easily. Gone now are the days of the brilliant final salary
schemes. The CBI has cut through his spin that they encouraged him to cut the
tax credit the schemes used to receive.
Hi Jeff! Yes, afraid it's never a good plan to buy a share just because a
director has bought, plenty of examples of directors buying tons of shares just
weeks before their companies go bust. Will be talking about this later on.
Peter writes: Hi Robbie Greetings. Thanks for the daily dose of wisdom and
entertainment. Will we learn? You says "treat volume trade data with
caution" Recently I was in a share (jsg) at a very good price.
Hi Peter. Remember market
makers can delay trades over market size and will often do so to disguise buys
as sells and vice versa.
Why? "Er, the tax people say it's fine to have in an Isa, but we won't
allow it as it is registered in Guernsey," say the broker.
What sort of feeble excuse is this? Anyway I gave up and bought it using
one of my other ISA providers who were grateful for my business. I've learned in
the past it's pointless arguing with any bank as it gets you nowhere.
Anyhow, BH is a large hedge fund and I bought it following the success I
had buying into another hedge fund, Bluebay. The shares here look in demand from
institutions and there is little interest from private investors (except me).
Which is probably good news!
One other buy to report - I've taken an advantage in a little dip in
Galliford Try shares to pick some up on the cheap and bought 3,000 GFRD shares
Friday pm at 171.39p. Target 220 stop 155.
Last time I was in these I made a lovely profit buying around 85 and
selling at 120 but what a mistake the sale turned out to be and I should have
held on.
But as usual I am not afraid to get back into something I once sold at a
higher price. The price has fallen 15p or so since highs so this looks a great
chance to get in.
It's a really well managed company that keeps winning decent contracts and
it is simply a great long-term hold. Should the market head down sharply at any
point this is the sort of company I would be buying on a dip.
The Mail on Sunday said sell RPS Group which in response has shot up
today! Indeed I am thinking of a new strategy which involves buying sell tips
from that paper and selling buy tips. Would have worked very well with the last
two...
Elsewhere plenty of good risers. Last week's buy Carter and Carter has
shot up 54p today, nearly 100 points higher than when I bought so I'm very happy
and still feel there is another 200p to come at least.
Alterian announced a good-looking acquisition and is up on that and has
risen well over the last week. Charter is booming today, this one is day traded
a lot but longer-term holders can just sit back I think.
MTL Instruments is at last on the rise, can't understand why this one is
not higher on excellent results and bid prospects but value will out in the end.
North Midland Construction looks good and with only one market-maker
quoting at the moment I'm looking to buy more should there be a dip.
And what can I say about McBride, it's been a star and breaks out strongly
today. Any rise above 250p in the coming days will look very bullish indeed..
Friday 30th March
Want to know the number one? What do you mean you're not interested and
this site is supposed to be about shares so just get on with it. Scroll down
then, ok!
Why was I in Selfridges last night? Well, I went to the lovely Wolseley
Tearooms/Restaurant in Green Park - great there by the way, it's next to the
Ritz. I met up with Sally Nicol who wrote the book "Bets and the City".
And excellent company she turned out to be. She started out trading like
we all do making the same mistakes but gradually she's feeling she's learnt the
ropes.
She was a journalist like me so we had a lot in common. And we both seem
to like scones and jam! She had a meeting to go to so I decided to walk up to
Oxford Street and do some evening shopping.
So I wandered round Selfridges buying a various assortment of things.
Found some amazing bargains - Calvin Klein nightware for £1 a piece! I asked the
assistant why they hadn't all been snapped up.
"People think there's something wrong with them because they're a pound,"
she said. "We're getting rid of them because winter's over but we're struggling
at a pound."
"Better put them up to a tenner" I suggested (after making sure I'd got them for
the pound of course).
So I got some things for Elizabeth and some clothes for Christopher but
sadly and stupidly I left Christopher's new clothes on the tube. Doh! No point
dwelling on it.
Well done Les - selling stuff at a small loss is one of the most important ways
to make money!
Jon writes: Every now and again, something happens that doesn't make any
sense to me. So I hope you can add some clarity, Inter-link foods had director
buys (Including the CEO) on the 21st February. So I put these on my watch list,
then last week the CEO announced a profit's warning and the shares halved in
value.
Hi Jon.. it's amazing how directors buy shares just before the company goes
bust! It's happened so often it really is surprising which is why you often have
to take their dealings with a pinch of salt. I suspect sometimes they are trying
to instill confidence into the shares by buying them.
Pretty good going for the 3 buys I made that I announced
yesterday...Excellent statement from North Midland construction - what more can
you want than such great growth - I reckon you could hold these, enjoy the ride,
get the divi and at some point there'll be a bid. And it's fully Isable. Nice!
Also Carter and Carter up well since my buy and a good write up in the
Investors Chronicle today too. And the top up in Vislink in the 80s looks pretty
good now with the stock 10p higher!
Hunting just keeps going up every day whatever market conditions and I
have an excellent profit there. Diploma surges today too.
Also on the rise Renold, Marchpole, McBride, Foseco, and Morgan Sindall
among others. RPS rises very nicely too. Only disappointment is Charter falling
with the market - I will be a top up buyer again if the fall continues! Vanco
goes up too with a buy tip in the Chronicle. So all in all very happy with the
portfolio given the poor market this morning.
Thursday 29th March
Last night went out with an old friend who's an astrologer. She tells me
it's going to be a good year and the markets will be ok...(sell everything
quick!)
She's getting into doing astrology for pets. So if you want to know
whether your pet will meet the love of his life next week, she's your woman! I
predict... my cat will wake us all up at 5.30am demanding food and a wee. Bet
I'm not far wrong...
Since then he got a £2m "severance" package and he is STILL a consultant
on nearly £1m. He now says he's an alcoholic who does "very little" for his
money.
And yet.. we let this carry on. Fire the bloke right now. Stop taking on
overpaid consultants. This is just one example of where our taxes are being
wasted. We are spending so much and getting so little out of it because all the
money goes to the wrong people.
And aren't you as sick of Blair as I am? Fed up with his non answers and
spin? Arrrggghh! Talking of spin in a really sickly attempt to be trendy Gordon
Brown says he has an Ipod and knows how to use it. Yuk!!
We all know it was just trickery to make him popular and we'll end up
paying the same or more. Gordon, we're not stupid! If you were honest and
upfront we'd have more respect. We're all sick to death of spin, it's time for
some honesty in politics - that's what we really want.
Keep up the great work, (it's like a religion now reading your site everyday).
Hi Jon, thanks for the kind words. The answer could be as Chime is now
SETS/MM that there was only a very small sell order in at .50p and the market
makers were at half a pence more so they are therefore entitled to ask for the
extra even though it's within size..happens quite a bid these days now anyone
can place an order.
I bought back into Carter and Carter yesterday (CART). I bought 500 shares at
1150p and took out a £10 a point spreadbet at 1157. Target 1350 stop 988.
This looks a cracker of a share now they are decided not to bid for BPP.
It's in a growing market (vocational learning for adults). Broker UBS has
started coverage with a target of 1530.
I tend to agree with UBS and think this is a cracking addition to the
portfolio with some decent gains to come.
I also added to Vislink(VLK) the afternoon before results (Tuesday) buying
a further 4,000 shares at 87.35p near to the close. Panicked investors looked
like they'd created another chance for me to top up at a cracking price. Target
120 stop 82. Glad I did as results were excellent.
Vislink produced a super report with no real negatives - looks really
undervalued now and that could be good news for longer-term holders like me.
One of the main reasons is they look so cheap that if I was a predator I'd
be getting my skates on while the price is so low. In fact two newspapers
speculate today Vislink looks a bid target now and at this kind of level Vislink
looks like a fantastic add on to any number of companies.
I think it's just a question of holding for further gains or a bid now. At
the very very worst fair value must be at 90p bottom so I can't see much
downside from here now.
Finally I bought 1,000 shares in North
Midland Construction (NMD) getting 1,000 shares this morning at 460p. Target 590
stop 390.
I bought because results are due any day and I think they'll be good and
they look like a potential bid target too. Also there appears to be some buyers
around and shares were already up 15p when I bought.
Elsewhere MTL Instuments shares rose on results - profits and dividends
are climbing very nicely and it looks like a great medium term hold. One worth
being patient with.
Recent buy Walker Crips looks good as it gets over the 400p level - a good
chance now of 450 opening up quite soon.
Hunting is really going for it and breaking out very nicely indeed. Alterian has
been gaining a lot recently - something going on?
Everything else in the portfolio right now is doing just fine so no
complaints. Marchpole, Telecom Plus, Sondex, Mouchel all sound.
Foseco tries hard to get above 200p, any day now!! Development Securities
looks fine enough and a bust through 90p will see Elementis going higher.
Brilliant buy McBride looks set for another run up as it heads through 240p.Tuesday 27th March
Not exactly going to be the most exciting of mornings I have to say.
Still, that'll be that for the cafe. Can't say I've really missed it since
selling nearly a year ago now.
I miss some of the people but I wouldn't do it again. Too much mess and
muck in catering though there were a lot of good laughs. I've made Gordon
a few quid in tax payments but also made some great profits from it and sold for
a good price.
Just filled out a questionnaire from Telecom Plus regarding the free 3 day
cruise we're going on in May. Which one of the three excursions would you like?
All the ancient monuments, or perhaps the museums, or do you just want to be
dropped off in Rome?
Oh I'm a pleb. Just not interested in ancient monuments. I used to have a
girlfriend who would drag me to museums and all that. I used to walk straight
through to the coffee shop at the end and wait till she finished. Look, I'm only
being honest.
So just drop us off in Rome, thank you. Not sure whether to tick Bingo or
Poker for the evenings on the boat. Hang on I'll tick poker for me and bingo for
the Mrs. Maybe one of us will win something!
I keep coming back to this one because I think there is a good chance of a
bid at some stage and also there's not much downside. A director bought 12,000
shares a couple of weeks ago.
Its profits and dividends are on the up and its stockbroking arms are all
performing well and it said H2 was exceeding expectations.
This looks like a company many other brokers would like to snap up on the
cheap and I can't see it lasting the year without it being taken out. This is
purely an opinion and I could be very wrong.
I've sold off a few FTSE 250 this morning on the basis that that sector of
the market is most vulnerable to any more dodgy moves in the states and in the
run up to Easter with lots of selling going on for tax reasons I can't see FTSE
250 stocks making any major advances. Also I prefer to take small losses
quickly.
So, gone are Catlin at 513.09 for a loss of £81, Amlin at 303.75 for a
loss of £227, Quintain Estates at 914 for a profit of £645 and Unite at 531 for
a profit of £330.
All of which adds and minuses up to a profit for the site today of £667.
Which doesn't leave many spreadbet positions open - for the moment it's safety
first!
Elsewhere a pretty good day. I hid behind the sofa yesterday afternoon
when the Dow sank and again that proved the right strategy as I hang on tight to
my favourite small caps.
Development Securites posted a very decent statement, I'm up 20 points or
so from the original buy last week and I'll be happy to hold for now. NAV is up
nicely and so are profits.
Foseco continues its nice one or 2 p rise every day and it's
looking to head over 200p. A superb rise by Hunting today what a brilliant share
this has been - banking me many thousands of profits since it launched onto the
market.
Elementis will really go a lot higher if that 90p can be broken. Looks
like a seller needs clearing. MTL goes higher and Vislink lower prior to their
results. Both should be good but in this crazy market who knows which way
they'll go?Monday 26th March
Christopher's been very lucky this weekend as I bought him lots of Thomas the Tank Engine stuff. He's got a new push along Thomas, a few new engines and a book! Whoever created Thomas must have made a fortune but good luck to them.
Some good movers today. Recent buy Foseco rises a nice one or two pee a day which is just fine because if it carries on doing that I'll get my 20% in about a month!
Friday's buy Development Securities reports tomorrow. If it's a profits warning I'll hide behind the sofa. Good contract win by Vanco where I'm well up now - one needs patience here but it'll pay off.
Short but sweet statement from Domestic and General which should produce decent results and is a sound hold. Telecom Plus moves back above 200p again, directors have been picking up stock under 200p.
Carclo has been pushing up slowly over the last two trading days and looks like 120p is on the way. Alterian didn't quite manage to maintain the big rise on Friday but is just starting to rise again.
Something up here judging by
Friday's action.
The Mail on Sunday kindly tipped Catlin but that's done nothing for the shares today sadly - the Mail pointed out the shares have a tax free 5% dividend.
Charter continues to look good and watching for a break through 940p.
Lovely share while Morgan Sindall buy tries hard to get through 1300p. Big rewards await if it can!Friday 23rd March
And already this week I've had all kind of amazing meals out of it. A
great lasagne for lunch today and home-baked bread!
Plus I'm not really allowed near it anymore so no washing-up and a
cheerful wife. Good huh? I've seen a recipe for tiger prawns with lobster on her
laptop so hey looks like it could be a good weekend.
Don't forget the clocks go forwards. Hmm, so Christopher has been getting
up around 7.15am, so now it'll be 8.15 (a tad too late).
But he's been going to bed at 8pm now it'll be 9pm (way too late). Could
be a tricky transition period. But he seems to wake up and quite happily play
with a couple of toys in his cot till one of us goes and gets him. He's a good
little chap!
A quietish weekend with not much arranged, hoping for better weather so we
can go out on the bikes. But we've all got colds so maybe we'll just be in bed
waiting for Spring...
http://www.mediaplayer.telegraph.co.uk/?item=5d532667-b5ee-4efc-81af-301fec672c66
Very funny and pretty much spot on!
A bit risky to buy now as results are next week. That's of course because
this year even good results often sees a short-term slide in a share as
investors panic.
However I think they will be good. This property and investment company
simply continues to grow and the management looks excellent. Lovely H1 statement
should be followed by a decent FY statement next week.
It recently bought a good-looking site in Birmingham and it's agreed to
develop a huge office site for Carnival. I think there's unlikely to be anything
nasty in the statement and shares should rise after. I don't see why it
shouldn't head back up to the 700 area at least and looks a nice sleep at night
one too.
I've shorted Provident Financial (PFD) for a tenner at 792. Stop loss 820
target 755. It's had an excellent run but I think it'll struggle to get above
800 and fall back a bit. This is a quite short term trade and I expect to take a
profit or a loss within a week or two.
Star of the day is Alterian. Thank goodness I stayed patient with it -
it's stayed at around where I bought it for a quite a while but today is payday
and it's up more than 8 per cent. One suspects a big buy will be reported at the
end of the day or early next week. Now it's going, suspect more rises to come to
take it over 150p.
Elsewhere three of my companies tipped as buys by the Investors Chronicle.
Foseco, last week's pick is now up nicely from the buy price and the
Chronicle rates it an excellent buy and undervalued to its peers by at least
15%. I agree and think I will come out with a 20% profit on this one.
The other company tipped was Chime the IC reckons its prospects aren't
reflected in its current rating and I agree - the shares should be mid 60s.
The IC also tipped Charter which has flown since I last topped up. Great
share. Be interesting to see if it can get through 940 or not.
Vislink is looking uncertain ahead of results next week. It's reasonably
easy for me not to worry as most of my shares were bought in the 50s. I'm not
sure why they're so weak. Possibly worried private investors cutting and
running. But it could end up being an excellent thing as if results are good and
most have got out there will be loads of buyers and the shares will rise
strongly after results.
Morgan Sindall holds onto recent gains well as does MS International.
Hunting and Sondex both look rosy. Scott Wilson has been climbing again, glad I
held my nerve on those and holding big profits now. Hill and Smith and Carclo
remain brilliant profit makers for me.Thursday 22nd March
Snow and it's nearly April? What happened to global warming? I'm huddled up in
my office with the heater on full blast.
Christopher's at home all morning so I'm trading while trying to screen
Teletubbies, Noddy, Little Red Tractor and Maisy Mouse out of my head.
In fact I have a giant headache, I think I still have a hangover from that
investors' evening. Worth going though - that mining company I bought is
starting to rise nicely.
The accountant is on at me to finish up the accounts for the last year of
the cafe I sold a while back! I guess I'd better see him and sort it out... what
a pain!
Nothing really much else in the Budget. As he said himself it was neutral.
We all know the income tax cut is a con especially with the 10p rate going and
bizarrely under a Labour government it'll be the poorest that lose out. Also
what a control freak as it's all delayed, what he's done will carry on going for
years!
So I've not bought anything today except for the mining share which the
mining expert I met this week told me about (I asked if there was just one you'd
buy what would it be?) - but that's very high risk so I'm not covering that here
but it will be covered on the naked trader website in your mailbox lunchtime
e-mail. (To subscribe mail me for details).
I took nice profits in the Bunzl spreadbet of a month ago, closing at 735
for a profit of £580. It's gone up a long way and I think it's time to sell into
strength. I'd be interested in getting back into these at a lower price if I
could. But for now, time to bank!
Elsewhere yesterday's buy MS International (MSI) goes extremely well. I
think 185 looks a good possibility then see where I go from there.
Foseco is rising steadily every day now, looks like a seller is cleared.
Hunting continues to be a brilliant share and soaring today along with Sondex.
Charter has gone ballistic today and glad I topped up.
Hill and Smith has proved an essential buy and is scorching! Mouchel
Parkman goes well, as does a host of others so a great day! They include
Renold, Caitlin and many more - more days like this please!.Wednesday 21st March
It was rather interesting - I don't invest generally in mining as I have
no idea how to value these companies and it's rather risky. The CEO's all seemed
to be genuinely excited about their companies and their prospects which was good
to see.
Afterwards there was wine and extremely posh "canapes" - ie, instead of
cheese and pineapple on a stick you get chicken satay, fried fish and lots of
fun little things. And plenty of wine.
Got talking to a few interesting investors. One actually goes to all the
meetings of the companies he invests in. He makes money by simply buying in and
holding for 2-3 years so things like the current volatility doesn't bother him.
And he calls CEO's and talks to them.
Also met an independent mining analyst. He says he doesn't buy mining
shares because it's just gambling! Well, that's true, but if you hit the right
one then you're in the money and the secret is to hit the right one.
And it was good to talk to him because as a geologist he gave me some good
hints and tips as to how to spot bull from the good or perhaps the wheat from
the chaff. Apparently there was a bit of chaff but also some wheat there last
night!
I stayed chatting to the guys from Proactive who arranged it all until
quite late.. they are a good fun bunch and love what they do which is unusual
these days. I like people who love what they do and they really enjoy it.
I'm not quite sure what happened to one of them - he had to get back to
Bournemouth and there was only one train left that departed at 1am but didn't
actually arrive in Bournemouth till 7am! Could be the slowest train ever. Some
knackered engine.
Plenty of discussions about mining stocks and other things too. Of course
the other things must remain confidential. Which is a shame in some ways. But
perhaps some things are best kept a secret, eh?
The good news is the cab driver on the way home didn't have any stock tips
so maybe we're not at the top of the market just yet...
You may remember I made some money on these late last year. They are very
hard to catch right as when they move, they tend to go up 6-8p quickly. Indeed
that happened this morning and I only managed to buy when they were already up
6p.
However the reason I bought (apart from the fact they continue to look
cheap) is some 10,000 buys that were coming in and which pushed the price
higher.
So someone somewhere is buying heavily. I wonder whether it's the
directors again because they bought a couple of months ago.
They have peaked a few times at the 185 area which is why I have set my
target there but if they manage to get through 185, my thought is it could go up
sharply. we shall see.
The other one I bought, and this is a top up on an already held position
and this is Mitie (MTO). It has been somewhat frustrating but it looks good
value. What I like is that it seems it is about to have a go at busting through
a big resistance level at 256.
Elsewhere a pretty good day. Recent top up Gyrus goes very well indeed.
Recent buy Foseco looks like it's about to move up as I think it looks
like a seller is being cleared.
Elementis looks brilliant and just needs to crack this 90p sticky level to
move a lot higher. Hunting looks like holding above 700p which looks bullish.
Morgan Sindall is having a crack at getting up to the 1300 level.
Trifast looks like it's about to rise again from its very firm bottom at 78.
McBride which ended up being a brilliant buy looks poised to jump higher and get
through that 236 level.
Tuesday 20th March
That about sums it up. No chance of stopping the ridiculous tax on buying
shares is there? Aka "stamp duty"? No fat chance I know.
I've seen our Eurovision song contest entry. Oh goodness. Camp as anything
and absolutely horrible. But it's so horrible it might well pick up some points.
So I'm now wondering whether I should be careful shorting it. Let me check: the
other countries still hate us for Iraq don't they?
The song is sung by four people dressed up as air cabin crew. Doing the
safety demonstration and all that. Had to happen I guess!
At around this level it's worth pausing and I'm looking carefully and
trying to ensure every buy is a strong one. I am also thinking about doing a
little shorting too.
You know one of my favourite strategies is to top up in companies I have
already done well with. ie instead of taking profits actually buy more.
I already have a lot of Gyrus (GYG) - a lot held from 100 points and more
lower than now and I've been tempted to take some profits.
I sold Dyson 236 to take a loss of £239 and the spreadbet at 237 for a
profit of £460 (total profit £221). Main reason here a lack of buyers to drive
it up for now.
Elsewhere a dull day to say the least with the market uncertain of
direction. Still many holding onto decent gains very well, such as Elementis
which looks like it's about to crack the 90p level and a great profit in a short
time.
Foseco saw a director buying 5,000 shares yesterday, always a
good sign. Seems to be sticking around 190 for now but there must surely be
little downside here (180 at worst) and a potential 20% upside in time.
Catlin continues to be a touch disappointing but will give it more time to
deliver. Oil services still look good with Hunting looking likely to start a run
up to 750 - though a couple of closes over 700 would be a good sign.
Good rise by Diploma today, tends to be volatile. Surprised to see Trifast
still around my buy price of a few weeks ago. Looks amazingly cheap and would be
really surprised if the results weren't good - maybe the price will start to
rise in the run up to results.
Interesting and what looks like good institutional buying coming into
Chime the last couple of days at around the 50p area. At the very least it
should keep the price up. Chime still looks remarkably cheap to me and should be
nearer 60p than 50p.Wednesday 14th March
Try not to miss me too much!
Many pensioners, quite poor ones, have £1m homes by accident because
prices have gone up. But just because they have a valuable home doesn't mean
they are wealthy.
You can see how desperate the Government is to try and raise council tax
in any way it can even though we now have to pay for services that used to be
free.
The ridiculous congestion charge is actually a tax on the poor and the
struggling. The rich are perfectly happy to pay £8 a day for clearer roads!
Brilliant!
Meanwhile it's the poorer who can't afford it and now have to pay to take
their kids to school. Public transport? That's getting worse and worse, try
using a bus in London at peak times!
Thanks for listening. I feel better now.
Premium rate lines. Who cares? Just don't call them - there is no need to!
But I had to laugh at the BBC show Question Time.
After panellists criticised and lambasted premium rate lines used by TV
companies, the programme then ended with, you guessed it.. An entreaty to
viewers to call in with their comments at... 25p per minute!!
Why not just put a ceiling on calls to TV shows at 10p per call. The TV
companies make a bit, the viewer gets their interactivity and everyone is happy.
Hi Ralph. I'm afraid I think that's right. It's because otherwise people
could say short just before the close of play and then get a guaranteed profit
the next day.
As I was kind of expecting another downturn at some point my strategy of
selling up or reducing most of the spreadbets in FTSE 250 companies has paid off
in that I don't have too many risky positions open and generally still feel I
can ride this one out.
I hate to just sell stuff off early in a down day when everything's
already been marked down. I've just again reduced spreadbetting positions which
seems sensible.
There are two ways of looking at it: either there are bargains appearing
in the good ones and it's time to snap up a few bargains or one should keep
selling or short because worse times are on the way.
I have no idea which way it's going, wish I did but I am no forecaster. In
the meantime I'll just keep stakes low, keep spreadbet accounts low.
So, after taking profits close to the 1000 mark the other day I bought
back into Keller (KLR) as it was marked down 50p. I bought 400 shares at 917.9p.
Target 995 stop 895.
Think this is a great company and have made lots of money on it in the
past. I'm looking just for an initial ride back up to 1000 or so and see from
there. However if it ends up being a bad afternoon and it looks like sinking
below 900 I'll quit.
Most of my smallcap good value stocks are holding up pretty decently. I
don't want to sell them because I believe most of them will be higher later this
year and I want to take profit at the right time not the wrong one.
Also decent shares like Marchpole remain healthy and Renold really.
Elementis too. In fact most of my small caps are way higher now than when the
FTSE 100 fell to these kinds of levels previously. Not that I am smug about it,
you have to be cautious in case it is the start of a bear market. Which it just
isn't yet.
The FTSE 250 stocks are the risky ones in a sudden downturn as they can be
subject to vicious selling. The two recently bought insurance stocks Amlin and
Caitlin are of course both lower today but I'll try and ride it out for now,
while keeping a wary eye open.
Stocks like Sondex and Hunting all hold pretty reasonably and I don't
exactly have panic in my eyes just yet. I guess I'm more of a wait and see
merchant and will get out only if I really think it's the start of a new bear
market.Tuesday 13th March
Must be a great job, Christmas coordinator. If I ever need a job again
I'll go for that one. Just put your feet up till September.. send out the odd
mail like that one to show your boss you're doing something!
The Government's idea is to give some of them "Manicures" and pampering to
give them back some confidence. I'd have a different view:
Did you know it's next to impossible to get a window cleaner in London?
And when you do they charge nearly £25? You can make a fortune cleaning windows
down here. Our window cleaner is on the golf course most afternoons!
I took Keller profits - this on the basis it tried a few times to get
through 1000p and couldn't and was on the retreat again.
Profits are £900 on the spreadbet closed at 987 and £596 on the other buy
at 986. Total profits £1,496. I'm sure I'll be back on any weakness, it's a
great looking company.
Elsewhere the portfolio is doing rather well today considering the markets
are mainly down. A great trading statement from Sondex today sees the shares
about about 8%.
Talking of excellent, that sums up the statement from Chime today. Great
prospects for this company with no negatives at all. A decent acquisition too
announced today. This is simply a superb medium-term hold and I can see 65p here
eventually.
Marchpole continues to march higher and is up nicely again today, that was
a good top up! Hunting is going well in sympathy with Sondex. Latchways, RPC and
McBride are also going higher. Elementis is cracking nicely higher too with some
big buying seen. Something on the cards here? I do hope so!
Insurance stocks are a little down today so recent buy Caitlin is down a
bit, but as a medium term investor am I Bovvered? Nope. It'll come back. Same
comment to Morgan Sindall.. can it crack the whole number?
Monday 12th March
Elizabeth and I went out for a meal last night. Only 2 other people there
- that's Sunday nights for you - but it saved having to do any cooking.
I was just about to ask whether they had anything better when it suddenly
got turned down a the only other people there got in to complain before I did.
In June we are going to spend a week with my sister and her husband in
Devon in a cottage. So they get to know Christopher. Budget is £2,500 for the
week and Elizabeth is busy scouring the Internet.
Think your details will remain private? Think again - all the info will be there
for anyone who pays for it.
It's all ludicrous - as if an ID card is going to stop terrorism! And how
many people are going to have access to your details? And what if those details
are wrong?
The whole thing stinks. They can't even manage to set up a computer
service for the NHS - so God only knows what's going to happen to our details
once they have them.
As for these "green air taxes" - both major parties must think we are
really stupid. Putting extra taxes on flying won't stop anyone flying or taking
more flights. It's just tax. We all know it so stop treating us like morons,
Blair and Cameron!
Well, no matter. There is plenty to go here I think. A really excellent
statement last week pushed the price higher but results easily beat market
expectations and it really was a lovely report.
As long as there isn't another market meltdown, like Amlin it looks a like
a brilliant medium term hold for excellent capital growth and a decent dividend.
What more could you ask for? Target is 592, stop 470.
The other buy this time a spreadbet is £20 a point in RPS (RPS) at 316p.
Target 380 stop 270. This company is simply top notch. Results last week were
brilliant with a 43% increase in pretax and everything else very positive.
Recent buys are all going well. Amlin has been shooting up and the juicy
dividend is still to come! Hill and Smith has soared and Morgan Sindall is rocketing thanks to it being the tip of the day in the Mail on Sunday.
Elsewhere a director of Renold has gone in with a really massive buy of
shares. This can only mean good news! I have already nearly doubled my money in
Renold and it is my biggest holding - looks like there is much more to come,
possibly a rise up to 200p in the next 6 months. Fantastic share and I'd have
bought more today if I didn't hold so many already.
A lot of things going up very nicely today. Biffa is jumping higher -
would expect a bid on this one sometime this year. Harvey Nash and RPC among
othes heading upwards. Keller continues to try and scale the 1000 though if it
doesn't, I'll take profits. Elementis has proved another useful buy, up nearly
10% now since the recent buy.Friday 9th March
I am very pleased! My next target is to hit £350,000 by the end of the
year! So I'm going to give myself a pat on the back, so there!
It was performed to a packed crowd in the prison gym - and more
performances over the weekend. How fantastic to see inmates getting a standing
ovation after putting in 6 weeks of work in rehearsals. And though they weren't
the best singers in the world they really put their backs into it.
They revelled in their new found fame and had the time of their lives.
Seeing this happen and such a positive atmosphere, I wonder whether other
schemes like this could be looked at across the country.
Giving them something really interesting to do instead of just sitting
there - how often have any of the guys been applauded in their lives? Never.
The programme had biogs of the real actors/singers and the prisoners and
what they were in for and why. Most of course had come from bad homes and crime
was the only way they could think of of making money.
One was a brilliant rapper, another took a lead singing role, and others
played some crowd scenes - many had chances to shine and they did with plenty of
confidence.
It just showed that take these lads out and give them a chance to shine
and be a useful part of society and some of them would take it.
While I'm not a bleeding heart, the whole evening showed there should be
more done to get these guys back on the straight and narrow.
Getting into the prison involved a lot of security checks, including
passports - and it was fascinating to see the inside of one. Wandsworth holds
more than 1,500 prisoners and it's pretty grim. It's a very old prison though
they are trying to "refurbish" it. There's a garden where you can see prisoners
have been growing flowers.
The "Guvnor" ended the evening complimenting the inmates and there was
even some surprising joking between him and them - they even seem to like him a
bit and he has to be complimented for all the effort he's put into this - must
be rewarding.
We had to wait 20 minutes before we could leave - as the Guvnor said, to
make sure those what were leaving were the people supposed to be leaving!
The actors are staying at the prison for 3 days while the show goes on. We
were eventually lead out with some of the lags shouting things like "Do come
again!" And "Hi georgeous" - that comment presumably shouted at me and not
Elizabeth....
We rounded off the evening at Fishworks - a chain that does really
excellent fish but it's expensive and I can see why their shares are down 70%.
It's a shame really because they get their fish from good suppliers and
it's a well meaning venture but with the small number of people there I can't
see where the profits are going to come from - I wouldn't be a buyer!
Really excellent results and they are awash with cash, so much show there
is a special dividend as well as an increased dividend - if I hold the shares
till near the end of March I pick up a 16p total dividend. If it can go up
between now and then that's going to make a pretty decent return!
In fact everything about the statement was good, it should hold up om if
the market slides back again and there looks to be plenty of upside as well as
the juicy dividend.
Bit of profit taking given the strong market run. I've decided to take
Petrofac profits on the basis it's tried a number of times to get through 400
and failed and it just won't go through. And with a big exposure to oil services
this one for now looks the one to grab the profits on while I keep Hunting and
Sondex.
If it can get through 400 convincingly I'd get back in, or if there was a
drop off. Despite an Investors Chronicle buy tip as well there seem to be some
sellers around. Profits are a very nice £2,310 from the sale at 388.
I also sold some Dragon Oil at 169.5p - we'll call it the 130 position for
a profit of £1,580 - although the share looks so cheap it's simply been sitting
around doing nothing for so long it seems pointless holding as much as I was.
Yesterday's top up Trifast is moving well with some good buying being
seen. They seem so cheap and I don't see why 95-100 is not possible in the run
up to what should be good results. I expect some more gains soon.
Keller also goes brilliantly - can it get through 1000p is the big
question. If it can, more points await, it it can't, I'll be taking profits!
Waterman produced some decent results today - not spectacular or anything
but good and solid and a base for the company to really try and grow.
Other recent buys are also showing excellent gains. Elementis in
particular has flown and looks like more to come. Morgan Sindall now
up 70 points since last week!
Hill and Smith just seems to move up every day which is nice and seems on
target for 400 in due course, a lovely hold.!
Telecom Plus remains a good firm market as does Hunting, Carclo and Alterian.
Otherwise a quietish day but most things up a point or two here or there which
is fine!
Renold reported yesterday how it is going to increase profits and cut
costs and I think its amazing run is set to continue, I expect shortly to have
doubled on my first buy.
Thursday 8th March
I guess it's the thrill of not getting caught. It's silly as I was
stealing items of low value. And I've been a repeat offender. So I think it's
fair enough and I'm off to jail and serves me right. How many bars have I
lifted?
Probably around 100 in the last 2 years. I didn't even eat them all..Ok, I
was kidding re the last 4 paragraphs. The first two are true!
We're going with a few friends and then a meal afterwards assuming we get out of
jail free.
If there's no update tomorrow it's because I'm still there and they won't
let me out. Or else there's been a riot and I've been held prisoner. Give you
all the gossip from the nick on Friday!!
I see leaders of some councils are getting paid more than £200,000 a year.
Outrageous and we wonder why our council tax bills are so high.
It's not just the leaders that are overpaid - senior staff get far too
much as well I reckon along with loads of pen pushers who I suspect do little or
nothing except e-mail their friends all day and talk jargon at meetings to
pretend they are doing something.
I think this looks like a lovely little company and one that could be
about to take off.
I bought at this time as it was starting to rise mid afternoon and thought
if I missed this chance it would be over 200p before I got in. I'm taking a bit
of chance as results are tomorrow and obviously if I've got this wrong I'll end
up in a loss. But I think they are likely to be good and may attract some new
buyers.
Of course you never know on results day but if they went down tomorrow
just because of some profit taking I'll stick with it on a medium term view
providing there are no horror stories inside the results statement.
Tuesday 6th March
All we can do is make the best decisions we can - the main thing really is
to make sure you can afford to have the positions open that you have and if
spreadbetting check your exposure and make sure it is money you can afford to
lose. Boring old fart though I sound, it is very important...
I thought this was an interesting observation from a friend of mine, David
Buik from Cantor Index... here's what he says:
"Some of the press comments venture to suggest that Armageddon was around
the corner. However, what has really happened is a perfectly logical and natural
correction. In London and NY it amounted to between 4 and 5 per cent.
Hi Norman! I'm sure Norman's mail summarises what a lot of investors are
feeling.
It's very hard to call anything at the moment - sometimes it's best just
to go flat like a lot of people have and wait a bit. Or just hold tight for a
while. We all need to know whether it's a correction or the start of something
worse....
However yesterday afternoon I picked up a couple of what looked like
bargains! The first was one I've been in before successfully - Keller (KLR).
Looked dead cheap after the big market falls. I bought shares at 500 KLR at
866.95p Target 1050 stop 820.
Keller looks simply a great company and looks really cheap at under 900p.
Fundamentals look terrific, forget charts - value will out on this one and I can
see it hitting 1050 in due course.
I also bought Hill and
Smith (HILS), getting 2,000 shares at 312p in the last half hour or so of
trading yesterday. Target 350. Stop 290.
It was a bit of a gamble buying the day before results but it's often hard
to get into Hils before it goes up so I took my chance - it was 323p just a few days ago so 312p was hard to resist!
This is something to simply tuck away for a year
or more, enjoy the capital increase, the dividend and sleep at night! One chap
there had held the shares since I bought at around 120p! So he was very happy.
Results today were decent as usual and point towards a great long-term future.
Finally in the bargain department I bought one more from the shortlist I've been following and that's 6,500 shares in Elementis (ELM) at 81.21p.
Target 95, stop 72.
Of course it is risky getting into a company so close to the start of a
recovery but this could pay off for me - I usually wait till a bit further into
a recovery cycle but having had a good look through their recent statements they
look cheap.
Elsewhere main buy Morgan Sindall is soaring today well up from my
live buying price on Friday! I hope there is more to come and thanks to all of
you who came for choosing it for me to buy..
Lots of stocks rebound but I am still glad I substantially reduced my
exposure to spreadbets and also glad I kept my small caps.
My favourite buy of the year so far has to be McBride. This one has all
but ignored the sell off and has just kept on going up - more than 20p since I
bought a couple of weeks ago. Excellent!!
Stocks bouncing back up very well today include Dmatek and Macro4 both
well higher. Harvey Nash and Carlclo continue to be solid as a rock during the
volatile times.
Oil services Petrofac, Hunting and Sondex are all deservedly higher today
- we've seen two excellent set of results from Petrofac and Hunting and they
really ought to be rated higher than they are.
Vislink, Gyrus and several others are coming back from falls and flying
today along with Mouchel Parkman and real estate. Who knows what will happen
next but we can only hope the market falls are over for a bit.
Monday 5th March
My strategy remains to be wary of spreadbetting FTSE 250 stocks for the
moment which I have been wont to do and reduce or sell them until the volatility
is over but mainly hang on to my top value smallcaps. Spreadbetting is extremely
dangerous at the moment.
From a shortlist of 8 strong shares I went through, here's
the share I was "told" to by by delegates with this one easily won the vote.
The share was Morgan Sindall (MGNS) and I bought 400 shares live just
before the close at 1213.73p Target 1295 stop 1130.
Probably not the best time to buy but I think it was a good example of a
decent share to buy especially during this time. Extremely solid recent results,
growing profits, dividends and a good outlook, I think should see these blossom
given a medium term timeframe. I feel reasonably confident these will be nicely
higher in a couple of months.
On Wednesday and Thursday (before and after travelling to Dublin) I outed
a few more spreadbets to continue to play it safe for the time being to preserve
capital and take profits. I knew I couldn't trade on Friday so decided best to
play it safe. And perhaps foolishly, we shall see, I have just watched in the
main so far today.
Headlam (28th) was sold at 586 for a loss of £60. On my shortlist to
re-enter when the time is right. On the 1st, Hanson went for 799 for a loss of
£40, Spectris at 860 for a loss of £200 and Biffa at 324 for a loss of £320. All
spreadbets too dangerous to hold in volatile times.
I decided it was time to take profits on Croda spreadbet (28th) and that
was sold for 617 for a profit of £2,420. However I keep my 402 "normal" position
in Croda going for the longer term.
Real estate has been taking a hammering. PHP went 15p below the stop loss
so sold (28th) for 455.25 for a loss of £366. Shaftesbury sold (28th) for 730
for a profit of £510. Left Quintain alone though with hindsight wish that had
been sold.
Smallcaps I left alone except wasn't sure about Celsis so sold (1st) at
206 for a loss of £247 . Expect to get back in. Profits banked for the site
today are £1,697.
My thoughts today were not to get involved until later this afternoon
after the Dow opens as this will either push us down more (in which case I need
to re-think) or it'll be the start of a bounce and it might be worth picking up
the odd bargain.
Great results from Petrofac which 2 weeks ago I'm sure would have seen
then soaring. I see no reason to sell and these still look great value. Worth
holding even during these grim times. They're doing ok for the moment.
Elsewhere my smallcaps are doing all right considering the bloodbath and I
have no desire to sell them as I get into these with at the very least a medium
term view and I'm certain by September they will all be a lot higher, so why
sell and pay commissions?
McBride and Harvey Nash have been the best holds during this time -
McBride has still been going up and Harvey has stayed level. Bit disappointed
Domestic didn't hold but on balance worth sticking with. Difficult to call as it
could bounce back as fast as it went down so going to hold the nerve for the
moment.
Carclo has been solid as a rock too - all this means my medium to
long-term money hasn't seen too many losses - losses have nearly all been in the
shorter term spreadbets.
The ones that are down today I don't feel too worried about yet, ie Dmatek
has a great future as does Alterian and they should bounce back given time.
Once again I hope those of you trading on your own out there aren't too
stressed. I know this might sound odd but in a way long-term a big blow off like
this is way better than a slow drip down.
Bargains are already starting to appear and those of you who've kept some
cash on the sidelines should get your reward soon and a time to start buying
again could soon be here. Past Commentaries
Tuesday 16th January to Wednesday 27th February 2007
Monday 13th November to Monday 15th January 2007
Monday 2nd October to Friday 9th November 2006
Thursday 27th July to Wednesday 27th September 2006
Wednesday 19th April to Wednesday 26th July 2006
Monday 20th February to Thursday 12th April 2006
Thursday 12th January to Friday 17th February 2006
Tuesday 18th November to Wendesday 11th January 2006
Wendesday 24th August to Monday 17th October
Wednesday 20th July 2005 to Tuesday 23rd August 2005
Friday 20th May 2005 to Monday 18th July 2005
Friday 15th April 2005 to Wendesday, 13th April 2005
Monday 03rd March 2005 to Wendesday, 13th April 2005
Monday 31th January 2005 to Friday, 25th February 2005
Wendesday 29th December 2005 to Friday 30th January 2005
Thursday 4th November to Friday 24th December
Monday 11th October to Thursday 4th November
Friday 13th August to Friday 8th October
Monday 05th July 2004 to Friday 30th July
Tuesday Monday 21th June 2004 to Friday 2nd July 2004
Tuesday 01st June 2004 to Friday 18th June 2004